THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-05 11:00

August Holmgren v Pedro Martinez

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
A. Holmgren to win1.91
Worth backing at 1.91 or bigger · our chance 53% · market 51/49, us 53/47

A. Holmgren is 3-7 over the last ten and 10-8 on clay this season. P. Martinez is 6-4 over the last ten and 18-20 on clay this season.

The pick is A. Holmgren to win. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.91 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. HolmgrenP. Martinez
241Ranking148
3-7Last 106-4
LWWLLLast 5LLWWW
+0.2V the odds-
29-29Season30-28
10-8Clay 202618-20
3Last 7 days0
3dDays rest14d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. HolmgrenFAV1.9151%
P. Martinez1.9649%
Market says51% Holmgren

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

A. Holmgren
P. Martinez
29-30
10-9
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
31-28
19-20
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

August Holmgren
Denmark
Pedro Martinez
Spain
241
28
Denmark
27–28
0
16–18
6–3
5–6
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
148
29
Spain
27–26
1
10–5
17–20
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Holmgren — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayP. Martinez1 - 21.9151%LOST
2026-10-02PortoClayH. Rocha0 - 23.0568%LOST
2026-09-30PortoClayA. Guerrieri2 - 02.0054%WON
2026-09-28PortoClayB. Bonzi0 - 2——WON
2026-09-07IstanbulClayV. Ursu0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-01MallorcaHardF. Balshaw0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardA. Guerrieri2 - 1——LOST
2026-07-29VancouverHardB. Shick1 - 2——LOST
2026-07-24WinnipegHardL. Draxl1 - 2——LOST
2026-07-22WinnipegHardG. Johns2 - 1——WON

P. Martinez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayA. Holmgren1 - 21.9651%WON
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayE. Ribeiro2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-13GenovaClayT. Seyboth Wild2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-12GenovaClayL. Djere1 - 2——WON
2026-09-11GenovaClayV. Aboian2 - 0——WON
2026-09-09GenovaClayM. Zeitune2 - 0——WON
2026-09-08GenovaClayF. Forti2 - 0——WON
2026-09-03ComoClayJ. Clarke2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-01ComoClayL. Carboni0 - 1 RET——WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardD. Glinka0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, August Holmgren or Pedro Martinez?

August Holmgren is favourite at 1.91, which is a 51% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for August Holmgren vs Pedro Martinez?

August Holmgren is 1.91 and Pedro Martinez is 1.96, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

Who will win August Holmgren vs Pedro Martinez?

Our model makes it August Holmgren to win at 1.91 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event