Arthur Fery v Jacob Fearnley
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanA. Fery is 5-5 over the last ten and 16-11 on hard this season. J. Fearnley is 7-3 over the last ten and 22-19 on hard this season. J. Fearnley retired from a match in the last month. J. Fearnley has played 4 matches in seven days.
The pick is A. Fery to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 76% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.32 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Fery | J. Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | Ranking | 96 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LLWLW | Last 5 | WWLWL |
| -0.5 | V the odds | +1.4 |
| 32-19 | Season | 37-26 |
| 16-11 | Hard 2026 | 22-19 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 4 |
| 6d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | retired |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Fery — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | B. Gojo | 1.57 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-7 FeryGojoPoints won46%54%Serve points won62%67%Return points won33%38%Games held8 of 1010 of 11Break points saved3 of 55 of 6Aces29Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | K. Khachanov | 2.97 | 67% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 7-6 6-7 FeryKhachanovPoints won51%49%Serve points won63%62%Return points won38%37%Games held15 of 1815 of 18Break points saved10 of 138 of 11Aces611Double faults72 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Cilic | 1.61 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-1 FeryCilicPoints won57%43%Serve points won70%56%Return points won44%30%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved1 of 23 of 6Aces66Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-10-01 | Tokyo | Hard | J. Faria | 1.99 | 51% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 4-6 FeryFariaPoints won50%50%Serve points won63%64%Return points won36%37%Games held11 of 1412 of 15Break points saved7 of 105 of 8Aces311Double faults28 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | A. Guillen Meza | 1.07 | 90% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-0 FeryMezaPoints won61%39%Serve points won75%52%Return points won48%25%Games held9 of 95 of 9Break points saved2 of 24 of 8Aces20Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | L. Musetti | 3.97 | 75% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 3-6 5-7 FeryMusettiPoints won42%58%Serve points won55%73%Return points won27%45%Games held9 of 1513 of 15Break points saved3 of 94 of 6Aces07Double faults54 | |||||||
| 2026-08-29 | Winston-Salem | Hard | I. Buse | 1.80 | 54% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 2-6 FeryBusePoints won39%61%Serve points won49%69%Return points won31%51%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved3 of 70 of 1Aces02Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-08-29 | Winston-Salem | Hard | J. Duckworth | RET | 1.65 | 59% | WON |
Games in each set6-4 1-2 FeryDuckworthPoints won56%44%Serve points won82%62%Return points won38%18%Games held6 of 66 of 7Break points saved0 of 03 of 4Aces40Double faults04 | |||||||
| 2026-08-28 | Winston-Salem | Hard | A. Kovacevic | 1.98 | 51% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 7-5 6-3 FeryKovacevicPoints won52%48%Serve points won73%66%Return points won34%27%Games held14 of 1513 of 15Break points saved0 of 13 of 5Aces48Double faults07 | |||||||
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | M. Rottgering | 1.46 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-3 FeryRottgeringPoints won53%47%Serve points won64%58%Return points won42%36%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved6 of 75 of 9Aces20Double faults15 | |||||||
J. Fearnley — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | L. Sonego | 1.71 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-7 6-4 FearnleySonegoPoints won52%48%Serve points won64%62%Return points won38%36%Games held14 of 1510 of 14Break points saved5 of 65 of 9Aces24Double faults72 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | P. Carreno-Busta | 1.55 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-3 FearnleyCarreno-BustaPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%61%Return points won39%32%Games held12 of 1411 of 14Break points saved4 of 64 of 7Aces81Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-10-21 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | C. Chidekh | 1.93 | 50% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 2-6 FearnleyChidekhPoints won46%54%Serve points won58%68%Return points won32%42%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved7 of 100 of 1Aces85Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | H. Gaston | 1.70 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-0 FearnleyGastonPoints won61%39%Serve points won71%48%Return points won52%29%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved3 of 35 of 9Aces20Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Olbia | Hard | D. Dzumhur | 1.39 | 70% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 3-6 FearnleyDzumhurPoints won47%53%Serve points won66%68%Return points won32%34%Games held8 of 1010 of 11Break points saved5 of 73 of 4Aces21Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-17 | Olbia | Hard | L. Nardi | 1.45 | 67% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-4 FearnleyNardiPoints won58%42%Serve points won67%51%Return points won49%33%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved0 of 13 of 7Aces22Double faults15 | |||||||
| 2026-10-16 | Olbia | Hard | M. Mrva | 1.37 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set6-0 7-6 FearnleyMrvaPoints won61%39%Serve points won76%53%Return points won47%24%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved1 of 22 of 6Aces12Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-15 | Olbia | Hard | J. Kumstat | 1.44 | 67% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-3 FearnleyKumstatPoints won57%43%Serve points won74%53%Return points won47%26%Games held8 of 96 of 10Break points saved2 of 35 of 9Aces42Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-10-13 | Olbia | Hard | G. Loffhagen | 1.74 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-3 FearnleyLoffhagenPoints won61%39%Serve points won71%48%Return points won52%29%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved6 of 75 of 10Aces43Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-10-01 | Porto | Clay | I. Montes-De La Torre | RET | — | — | LOST |
Games in each set6-7 0-3 FearnleyTorrePoints won45%55%Serve points won54%67%Return points won33%46%Games held5 of 86 of 7Break points saved12 of 150 of 1Aces50Double faults74 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Arthur Fery or Jacob Fearnley?
Jacob Fearnley is favourite at 1.83, which is a 51% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley?
Arthur Fery is 1.91 and Jacob Fearnley is 1.83, the prices we recorded for the Vienna match.
Who will win Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley?
Our model makes it Arthur Fery to win a set (Lean confidence).