Andrea Pellegrino v Lorenzo Giustino
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTA. Pellegrino is 4-6 over the last ten and 26-17 on clay this season. L. Giustino is 5-5 over the last ten and 19-18 on clay this season. L. Giustino retired from a match in the last month. The head to head is A. Pellegrino 1-0.
The pick is A. Pellegrino to win. We make it a 70% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.43 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Pellegrino | L. Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| 146 | Ranking | 216 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LLWLL | Last 5 | LWLWL |
| -2.1 | V the odds | -0.9 |
| 30-23 | Season | 29-28 |
| 26-17 | Clay 2026 | 19-18 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 7d | Days rest | 4d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | retired |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-23 | Vicenza | A. PellegrinovL. Giustino | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Pellegrino — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | L. Giustino | 1 - 2 | 1.45 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | M. Dodig | 2 - 1 | 2.29 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | Genova | Clay | V. Aboian | 2 - 0 | 1.17 | 82% | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | M. Petkovic | 0 - 2 | 1.28 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | C. Smith | 2 - 1 | 2.90 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-08-21 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | Z. Bergs | 2 - 0 | 4.62 | 79% | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | N. Basavareddy | 2 - 1 | 4.00 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-07-30 | San Marino | Clay | T. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | 1.54 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-07-28 | San Marino | Clay | C. A. Caniato | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-19 | Estoril | Clay | G. Bueno | 1 - 2 | 1.40 | 69% | LOST |
L. Giustino — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | A. Pellegrino | 1 - 2 | 2.89 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-10-08 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | C. Sanchez Jover | 2 - 1 | 1.82 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | C. Langmo | 0 - 2 | 1.29 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Donald | 1 - 1 RET | 1.84 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | J. Sperle | 2 - 1 | 1.39 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | M25 Sabadell 2 | Clay | G. Campana Lee | 0 - 2 | 1.62 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | M25 Sabadell 2 | Clay | M. Ponce de Leon Gomila | 2 - 0 | 1.19 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Sabadell 2 | Clay | E. Carrascosa Diaz | 2 - 0 | 1.09 | 87% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | G. Dimitrov | 0 - 2 | 7.43 | 87% | LOST |
| 2026-08-21 | Sion (Switzerland) | Clay | B. Hassan | 1 - 0 RET | 1.65 | 59% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Andrea Pellegrino or Lorenzo Giustino?
Andrea Pellegrino is favourite at 1.45, which is a 67% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino?
Andrea Pellegrino is 1.45 and Lorenzo Giustino is 2.89, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.
What is the head-to-head between Andrea Pellegrino and Lorenzo Giustino?
They have met 1 time and Andrea Pellegrino leads 1-0.
Who will win Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino?
Our model makes it Andrea Pellegrino to win at 1.45 (Lean confidence).