Alexander Zverev v Novak Djokovic
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidWONN. Djokovic is 7-3 over the last ten and 9-4 on hard this season. A. Zverev is 9-1 over the last ten and 32-9 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Zverev 3-4.
The pick is N. Djokovic to win. We make it a 38% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.63 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Zverev | N. Djokovic | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ranking | - |
| 9-1 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWWLW | Last 5 | WWLLL |
| -0.5 | V the odds | +0.6 |
| 58-14 | Season | 17-7 |
| 32-9 | Hard 2026 | 9-4 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 3-4 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | A. ZverevvN. Djokovic | 1 - 2 |
| 2025-06-04 | French Open | A. ZverevvN. Djokovic | 1 - 3 |
| 2023-08-20 | ATP Cincinnati | A. ZverevvN. Djokovic | 0 - 2 |
| 2022-12-20 | Exhibition World Tennis League | N. DjokovicvA. Zverev | 0 - 2 |
| 2021-11-20 | Finals - Turin | N. DjokovicvA. Zverev | 1 - 2 |
| 2021-09-11 | US Open | N. DjokovicvA. Zverev | 3 - 2 |
| 2021-07-30 | Olympic Games | N. DjokovicvA. Zverev | 1 - 2 |
| 2020-06-14 | Adria Tour (Serbia) | N. DjokovicvA. Zverev | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Zverev — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | Hard | N. Djokovic | 1 - 2 | 1.33 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | J. Shang | 2 - 0 | 1.05 | 90% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | 1.12 | 86% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | L. Tien | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | A. De Minaur | 1 - 2 | 1.30 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | D. Prizmic | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | M. Dodig | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | US Open | Hard | B. Shelton | 3 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | US Open | Hard | K. Khachanov | 3 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | US Open | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 0 | — | — | WON |
N. Djokovic — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | Hard | A. Zverev | 1 - 2 | 2.92 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | Y. Bu | 1 - 2 | 1.30 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | N. Borges | 0 - 2 | 1.40 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | M. Navone | 3 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. A. Tirante | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-10 | Wimbledon | Grass | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-07 | Wimbledon | Grass | F. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 3 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-05 | Wimbledon | Grass | R. Safiullin | 1 - 3 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | A. Rinderknech | 1 - 3 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 3 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alexander Zverev or Novak Djokovic?
Alexander Zverev is favourite at 1.33, which is a 69% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic?
Alexander Zverev is 1.33 and Novak Djokovic is 2.92, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.
What is the head-to-head between Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic?
They have met 8 times and Novak Djokovic leads 5-3.
Who will win Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic?
Our model makes it Novak Djokovic to win at 2.92 (Solid confidence).