Alex Bolt v Evan Zhu
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongLOSTE. Zhu is 7-3 over the last ten and 36-24 on hard this season. A. Bolt is 4-6 over the last ten and 16-15 on hard this season. A. Bolt took a medical timeout on 2026-09-23. The head to head is A. Bolt 2-0.
The pick is E. Zhu to win. We make it a 42% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.37 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Bolt | E. Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| 183 | Ranking | 738 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WLWWL | Last 5 | WWWLW |
| -0.7 | V the odds | +0.9 |
| 21-21 | Season | 42-26 |
| 16-15 | Hard 2026 | 36-24 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 2d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 3 |
| MTODefending final | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Jingshan | A. BoltvE. Zhu | 2 - 1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Jingshan | A. BoltvE. Zhu | 2 - 1 |
| 2025-05-06 | Wuxi | E. ZhuvA. Bolt | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Bolt — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Jingshan | Hard | D. Sweeny | 2 - 0 | 2.27 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Jingshan | Hard | E. Zhu | 2 - 1 | 1.47 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | S. Pankin | 2 - 0 | 1.31 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | Hard | F. Marozsan | 2 - 0 | 3.56 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Santillan | 2 - 1 | 1.45 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | O. Jasika | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | P. Llamas Ruiz | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Lexington | Hard | A. Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-26 | Washington | Hard | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-25 | Washington | Hard | J. McCabe | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
E. Zhu — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Jingshan | Hard | A. Bolt | 2 - 1 | 2.81 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Jingshan | Hard | H. Liu | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | A. Vukic | 0 - 1 RET | 3.84 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Jingshan | Hard | Z. Xia | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | H. Searle | 1 - 2 | 2.59 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | A. Ayeni | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification, Hard | — | A. Lofman | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | Tiburon | Hard | M. Zheng | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Tiburon | Hard | O. Baris | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | Tiburon | Hard | F. Lechno-Wasiutynski | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alex Bolt or Evan Zhu?
Alex Bolt is favourite at 1.47, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alex Bolt vs Evan Zhu?
Alex Bolt is 1.47 and Evan Zhu is 2.81, the prices we recorded for the Jingshan match.
What is the head-to-head between Alex Bolt and Evan Zhu?
They have met 3 times and Alex Bolt leads 3-0.
Who will win Alex Bolt vs Evan Zhu?
Our model makes it Evan Zhu to win at 2.61 (Strong confidence).