ChallengerHardCharlottesville · Qualifiers2026-11-02 19:00

Aidan Mayo v Kenta Miyoshi

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid

A. Mayo to win1.52

Worth backing at 1.45 or bigger · our chance 69% · market 62/38, us 69/31

A. Mayo is 7-3 over the last ten and 28-21 on hard this season. K. Miyoshi is 4-6 over the last ten and 31-16 on hard this season. A. Mayo has played 5 matches in seven days.

The pick is A. Mayo to win. We make it a 69% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.45 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. Mayo		K. Miyoshi
341	Ranking	442
7-3	Last 10	4-6
WLWWW	Last 5	WLLWL
+2.1	V the odds	-1.9
32-23	Season	32-16
28-21	Hard 2026	31-16
5	Last 7 days	1
1d	Days rest	1d
1	Wins here	1
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. MayoFAV1.5262%

K. Miyoshi2.5238%

Market says62% Mayo

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

A. MayoWLWWW

K. MiyoshiWLLWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

A. Mayo

K. Miyoshi

32-23

28-21

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

32-16

31-16

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Aidan Mayo

USA

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

341

USA

26–21

22–17

4–3

0–1

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

442

Japan

29–13

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Mayo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-01	Charlottesville	Hard	D. Chan	1.38	69%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 MayoChanPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%61%Return points won39%32%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved0 of 12 of 5Aces42Double faults32
2026-10-31	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	D. Dietrich	3.29	70%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6 MayoDietrichPoints won43%57%Serve points won57%73%Return points won27%43%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved3 of 60 of 0Aces45Double faults33
2026-10-30	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	M. Rottgering	2.24	57%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 MayoRottgeringPoints won55%45%Serve points won70%65%Return points won35%30%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved9 of 91 of 3Aces101Double faults22
2026-10-28	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	M. Kasnikowski	2.43	60%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-7 7-5 MayoKasnikowskiPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%62%Return points won38%32%Games held14 of 1611 of 16Break points saved1 of 32 of 7Aces94Double faults51
2026-10-26	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	H. Barton	1.65	58%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 MayoBartonPoints won58%42%Serve points won75%57%Return points won43%25%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved5 of 511 of 14Aces26Double faults25
2026-10-23	Fort Worth (Usa)	Hard	S. Jong	1.67	56%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-0 6-7 MayoJongPoints won52%48%Serve points won70%66%Return points won34%30%Games held14 of 1511 of 15Break points saved5 of 64 of 8Aces610Double faults78
2026-10-21	Fort Worth (Usa)	Hard	K. Bigun	1.37	70%	WON
Games in each set1-6 6-0 7-5 MayoBigunPoints won54%46%Serve points won62%54%Return points won46%38%Games held10 of 129 of 13Break points saved12 of 1412 of 16Aces65Double faults65
2026-10-19	Fort Worth (Usa)	Hard	C. Smith	2.12	55%	WON
Games in each set6-4 2-6 7-6 MayoSmithPoints won50%50%Serve points won59%60%Return points won40%41%Games held11 of 1512 of 15Break points saved10 of 1412 of 15Aces54Double faults71
2026-10-02	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	A. Shelbayh	2.09	54%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 5-7 MayoShelbayhPoints won47%53%Serve points won63%67%Return points won33%37%Games held10 of 1211 of 12Break points saved1 of 31 of 2Aces153Double faults52
2026-10-01	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	C. Smith	2.59	64%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-6 MayoSmithPoints won55%45%Serve points won71%60%Return points won40%29%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved3 of 42 of 5Aces76Double faults52

K. Miyoshi — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-01	Charlottesville	Hard	D. Mosejczuk	1.49	64%	WON
Games in each set6-0 5-7 6-0 MiyoshiMosejczukPoints won57%43%Serve points won63%49%Return points won51%37%Games held10 of 125 of 12Break points saved0 of 210 of 17Aces52Double faults24
2026-10-25	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	G. Young	1.56	61%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 5-7 MiyoshiYoungPoints won48%52%Serve points won58%62%Return points won38%42%Games held8 of 1210 of 12Break points saved7 of 115 of 7Aces63Double faults11
2026-10-21	Fort Worth (Usa)	Hard	P. Maloney	1.58	60%	LOST
Games in each set0-6 7-6 6-7 MiyoshiMaloneyPoints won47%53%Serve points won56%62%Return points won38%44%Games held9 of 1512 of 15Break points saved9 of 155 of 8Aces78Double faults32
2026-10-20	Fort Worth (Usa)	Hard	M. Cassone	2.20	57%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-6 MiyoshiCassonePoints won54%46%Serve points won65%58%Return points won42%35%Games held9 of 118 of 11Break points saved9 of 113 of 6Aces52Double faults14
2026-10-19	Fort Worth (Usa)	Hard	S. Jong	1.63	58%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 6-7 5-7 MiyoshiJongPoints won48%52%Serve points won57%62%Return points won38%43%Games held12 of 1712 of 17Break points saved10 of 153 of 8Aces36Double faults15
2026-10-18	Fort Worth (Usa) - Qualification, Hard	—	K. Chopra	1.19	80%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 MiyoshiChopraPoints won56%44%Serve points won72%58%Return points won42%28%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved0 of 14 of 8Aces60Double faults24
2026-09-22	Chengdu	Hard	L. Harris	—	—	LOST
Games in each set3-6 5-7 MiyoshiHarrisPoints won45%55%Serve points won59%70%Return points won30%41%Games held8 of 1110 of 10Break points saved0 of 32 of 2Aces28Double faults11
2026-09-16	Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification	Hard	P. Sekulic	1.50	61%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 6-7 3-6 MiyoshiSekulicPoints won50%50%Serve points won71%67%Return points won33%29%Games held14 of 1616 of 17Break points saved0 of 24 of 5Aces253Double faults29
2026-09-14	Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification	Hard	M. Bouzige	1.19	80%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 MiyoshiBouzigePoints won57%43%Serve points won69%53%Return points won47%31%Games held8 of 106 of 10Break points saved1 of 35 of 9Aces92Double faults57
2026-09-10	Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification	Hard	F. Peliwo	1.12	83%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 3-6 MiyoshiPeliwoPoints won46%54%Serve points won63%67%Return points won33%37%Games held8 of 1010 of 11Break points saved1 of 38 of 9Aces74Double faults24

Common questions

Who is favourite, Aidan Mayo or Kenta Miyoshi?

Aidan Mayo is favourite at 1.52, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Aidan Mayo vs Kenta Miyoshi?

Aidan Mayo is 1.52 and Kenta Miyoshi is 2.52, the prices we recorded for the Charlottesville match.

Who will win Aidan Mayo vs Kenta Miyoshi?

Our model makes it Aidan Mayo to win at 1.52 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event

Draxl v Kasnikowski Giron v Dietrich Gray v Royer Kennedy v Barton Mejia v Cassone Rehberg v Svajda