THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 13 OCTOBERMATCHES 224EVENTS 35LIVE 2ALERTS 135
ChallengerHardJinan2026-10-12 04:00

Adam Walton v Marin Cilic

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
M. Cilic to win2.06
Worth backing at 1.88 or bigger · our chance 53% · market 53/47, us 47/53

M. Cilic is 3-7 over the last ten and 10-11 on hard this season. A. Walton is 4-6 over the last ten and 36-27 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Walton 0-1.

The pick is M. Cilic to win. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.88 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. WaltonM. Cilic
97Ranking47
4-6Last 103-7
LLWWWLast 5LLLWL
-2.6V the odds-1.6
41-31Season14-17
36-27Hard 202610-11
1Last 7 days1
7dDays rest5d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. WaltonFAV1.8253%
M. Cilic2.0747%
Market says53% Walton

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Walton0
M. Cilic2
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-13JinanA. WaltonvM. Cilic1 - 2
2025-10-18BaselM. CilicvA. Walton2 - 0

This season & this event

A. Walton
M. Cilic
41-32
36-28
Lost R16 to B. Holt
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
15-17
11-11
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Adam Walton
Australia
Marin Cilic
Croatia
97
27
Australia
41–30
1
32–23
2–3
7–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
80
38
Croatia
14–16
0
9–9
3–4
2–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Walton — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12JinanHardM. Cilic1 - 21.8253%LOST
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardR. Te1 - 21.0492%LOST
2026-10-01JingshanHardM. Bellucci0 - 22.0052%LOST
2026-09-30JingshanHardM. Kouame2 - 01.4765%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardA. Binda2 - 01.0588%WON
2026-09-28JingshanHardH. Shiraishi2 - 0——WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardV. Royer2 - 01.8851%LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardY. Wu3 - 01.7556%LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardI. Buse1 - 21.6061%LOST
2026-08-24Winston-SalemHardJ. De Jong2 - 01.5862%WON

M. Cilic — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12JinanHardA. Walton1 - 22.0753%WON
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardA. Fery2 - 02.4260%LOST
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardD. Merida Aguilar2 - 12.3158%LOST
2026-08-05MontrealHardF. Tiafoe2 - 12.8966%LOST
2026-08-04MontrealHardS. Shimabukuro0 - 21.8054%WON
2026-06-29WimbledonGrassD. Medvedev0 - 33.5072%LOST
2026-06-16LondonHardU. Humbert2 - 02.3458%LOST
2026-06-13HertogenboschGrassD. Medvedev2 - 12.8766%LOST
2026-06-12HertogenboschGrassN. Borges1 - 21.9450%WON
2026-06-08HertogenboschGrassD. Shapovalov2 - 11.6658%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Adam Walton or Marin Cilic?

Adam Walton is favourite at 1.82, which is a 53% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic?

Adam Walton is 1.82 and Marin Cilic is 2.07, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.

What is the head-to-head between Adam Walton and Marin Cilic?

They have met 2 times and Marin Cilic leads 2-0.

Who will win Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic?

Our model makes it Marin Cilic to win at 2.06 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event