WTA Tokyo 2026 Preview: Draw, Title Odds, Injuries and
The WTA Tokyo main draw begins on 30 September, with Elena Rybakina, Sorana Cirstea and Naomi Osaka leading the field. 43 players and 32 singles matches on our card, hard court.
When is the WTA Tokyo?
The tournament starts on 30 September, with the final on 6 October.
Who are the title favourites for the WTA Tokyo?
Elena Rybakina is the favourite with a 34.6% chance of the title, ahead of Sorana Cirstea on 11.3%. Worked out round by round from the published draw and our player ratings.
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina 1 | 34.6% | 2.9 |
| Sorana Cirstea 6 | 11.3% | 8.8 |
| Naomi Osaka 7 | 11.2% | 8.9 |
| Maja Chwalinska 2 | 10.9% | 9.2 |
| Diana Shnaider 3 | 10.1% | 9.9 |
| Belinda Bencic 4 | 4.9% | 20.2 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | 3.4% | 29.1 |
| Elise Mertens 5 | 3.2% | 31.0 |
| Leylah Fernandez | 2.8% | 36.0 |
| Alexandra Eala 8 | 2.7% | 37.7 |
What is the surface at the WTA Tokyo?
The tournament is played on hard court at the Ariake Tennis Forest Park in Tokyo.
How this court plays.
Servers held
+1.4% vs tour average 80.9%
1st serve points won
+1.3% vs tour average 73.1%
Sets to a tiebreak
+5.3% vs tour average 19.7%
Aces
+0.15 vs tour average 0.47
ATP match statistics, 2025 edition
What is the weather forecast for the WTA Tokyo?
Forecast for Tokyo, updated every build.
| Day | High | Low | Rain | Wind km/h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 September | 21° | 18° | 100% | 14 |
| 1 October | 28° | 19° | 55% | 15 |
| 2 October | 23° | 19° | 98% | 15 |
| 3 October | 23° | 18° | 4% | 15 |
| 4 October | 22° | 17° | 12% | 14 |
| 5 October | 21° | 18° | 78% | 16 |
| 6 October | 26° | 20° | 24% | 17 |
Who won the WTA Tokyo in 2025?
Belinda Bencic won it in 2025, beating Linda Noskova 2-0. Back to defend the title this year.
Which players come to the WTA Tokyo in form?
Win-loss over the last five weeks, across every event, from our own results record.
| Player | Last 5 weeks | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Yulia Putintseva | 8-2 | 80% |
| Leylah Fernandez | 11-3 | 79% |
| Tereza Valentova | 3-1 | 75% |
| Mika Stojsavljevic | 3-1 | 75% |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 11-4 | 73% |
| Nikola Bartunkova | 5-2 | 71% |
Which players are carrying an injury into the tournament?
Retirements, walkovers and medical timeouts from our own tracking. A short price on a player who has not finished a match lately is the easiest way to lose money at this level.
| Player | Recent | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | L 0-2, L 0-2, RET | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Kayla Day | L 1-2, RET, W 2-0 | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Maiko Uchijima | L 1-2, W 2-1, RET | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Alycia Parks | W 2-0, W 2-1, L 1-2 | 2 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 1-2, W-ret, W 2-0 | retired in the last 90 days |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 2-0, W 2-0, L 1-2 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
Which home players are in the WTA Tokyo?
10 players from Japan are in the singles draw. Aoi Ito, Ena Shibahara, Hayu Kinoshita, Himeno Sakatsume, Kyoka Okamura, Mai Hontama, Maiko Uchijima, Naomi Osaka, Sayaka Ishii, Shiho Tsujioka.
What is the WTA Tokyo prize money?
Singles, by round.
| Round | Prize money | Ranking points |
|---|---|---|
| Winner | $437,955 | 500 |
| Finalist | $235,685 | 330 |
| Semi-finalist | $125,605 | 200 |
| Quarter-finalist | $64,170 | 100 |
| Round of 16 | $34,255 | 50 |
| Round of 32 | $18,270 | 0 |
What are the first round matchups at the WTA Tokyo?
| Match | Time (UTC) | Prices | Market makes it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liudmila Samsonova v Heather Watson | 03:30 | 1.11 / 6.97 | 86% L. Samsonova |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva v Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 03:30 | 2.24 / 1.69 | 57% A. Sasnovich |
| Shiho Tsujioka v Kamilla Rakhimova | 03:30 | 15.56 / 1.03 | 94% K. Rakhimova |
| Maya Joint v Viktorija Golubic | 05:00 | 1.82 / 2.05 | 53% M. Joint |
| Oleksandra Oliynykova v Mai Hontama | 05:00 | 1.85 / 2.00 | 52% O. Oliynykova |
| Ena Shibahara v Alycia Parks | 05:00 | 2.16 / 1.74 | 55% A. Parks |
| Kimberly Birrell v Aoi Ito | 06:30 | 1.37 / 3.26 | 70% K. Birrell |
| Kayla Day v Shuai Zhang | 06:30 | — | — |
| Yexin Ma v Daria Kasatkina | 06:30 | — | — |
| Hayu Kinoshita v Yulia Putintseva | 08:00 | 8.00 / 1.08 | 88% Y. Putintseva |
| Xinyu Wang v Tereza Valentova | 08:00 | 2.36 / 1.62 | 59% T. Valentova |
| Katie Boulter v Sayaka Ishii | 08:30 | — | — |
| En Shuo Liang v Tereza Valentova | 11:50 | — | — |
| Kyoka Okamura v Sayaka Ishii | 12:45 | — | — |