ATP Challenger Ningbo 2026 Preview: Draw, Title Odds, Injuries
The ATP Challenger Ningbo main draw begins on 25 October, with Harold Mayot, Tristan Schoolkate and Charles Broom leading the field. 46 players and 24 singles matches on our card, hard court.
When is the ATP Challenger Ningbo?
The tournament starts on 25 October. Matches are listed to 27 October so far; the later rounds join the card as the draw is published.
Who are the title favourites for the ATP Challenger Ningbo?
Harold Mayot is the favourite with a 20.5% chance of the title, ahead of Tristan Schoolkate on 18.6%. Worked out round by round from the published draw and our player ratings.
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Harold Mayot 3 | 20.5% | 4.9 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | 18.6% | 5.4 |
| Charles Broom 8 | 11.0% | 9.1 |
| Yi Zhou | 8.9% | 11.2 |
| Carl Emil Overbeck | 5.5% | 18.3 |
| Liam Broady 5 | 4.9% | 20.4 |
| Jie Cui | 4.4% | 22.5 |
| Keegan Smith 2 | 3.8% | 26.3 |
| Hayato Matsuoka 6 | 3.1% | 32.6 |
| Hsiou Hsu Yu | 2.5% | 40.5 |
What is the surface at the ATP Challenger Ningbo?
The tournament is played on hard court.
Very slow court. How it has actually played, against the average for its level.
Servers held
−9.5% vs tour average 73.0%
Serve points won
−4.9% vs tour average 60.6%
Sets to a tiebreak
−3.3% vs tour average 14.1%
Aces
−0.13 vs tour average 0.31
Measured from 49 matches played at this event, against the average for its level over the same period. Not a surface label.
Which players come to the ATP Challenger Ningbo in form?
Win-loss over the last five weeks, across every event, from our own results record.
| Player | Last 5 weeks | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Borisiouk | 6-2 | 75% |
| Khumoyun Sultanov | 3-1 | 75% |
| Millen Hurrion | 6-3 | 67% |
| Ryuki Matsuda | 6-4 | 60% |
| Harold Mayot | 6-4 | 60% |
| Keegan Smith | 7-5 | 58% |
Which players are carrying an injury into the tournament?
Retirements, walkovers and medical timeouts from our own tracking. A short price on a player who has not finished a match lately is the easiest way to lose money at this level.
| Player | Recent | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Harold Mayot | L 0-2, RET, W 2-1 | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Saba Purtseladze | L 0-2, W 2-0, L 1-2 | 2 retirements in 90 days |
| Maxim Zhukov | L 0-2, L 1-2, W-ret | 2 retirements in 90 days |
| Xiaoyin Yang | L 0-2, L 0-2, RET | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Khumoyun Sultanov | L 0-2, W 2-0, W 2-0 | 2 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Jie Cui | L 1-2, W 2-0, W 2-0 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
Playing a first match in a while, with nothing physical on their record: Jia Hu (32 days). A gap between tournaments is normal at this time of year - treat it as rust, not as a doubt.
Which home players are in the ATP Challenger Ningbo?
11 players from China are in the singles draw. Dingzheng Nima, Fajing Sun, Jie Cui, Jia Hu, Kaigaoge Kang, Linang Xiao, Rigele Te, Qian Sun, Tianhui Zhang, Xiaoyin Yang, Yi Zhou.
What are the first round matchups at the ATP Challenger Ningbo?
Order of play from 03:00 UTC; individual times follow the session.
| Match | Prices | Market makes it |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandr Binda v Jia Hu | — | — |
| Martin Borisiouk v Yaroslav Demin | 1.97 / 1.82 | 52% Y. Demin |
| Luca Castelnuovo v Yusuke Kusuhara | 1.29 / 3.25 | 72% L. Castelnuovo |
| Kaigaoge Kang v Millen Hurrion | 21.87 / 1.01 | 96% M. Hurrion |
| Kang Leong Mitsuki Wei v Qian Sun | — | — |
| Ryuki Matsuda v Naoya Honda | 1.89 / 1.89 | 50% N. Honda |
| Hiroki Moriya v Taisei Ichikawa | 1.39 / 2.98 | 68% H. Moriya |
| Semen Pankin v Maxim Zhukov | 1.65 / 2.23 | 57% S. Pankin |
| Filip Peliwo v Saba Purtseladze | 2.45 / 1.54 | 61% S. Purtseladze |
| Egor Pleshivtsev v Dominik Palan | 2.06 / 1.75 | 54% D. Palan |
| Khumoyun Sultanov v Dingzheng Nima | — | — |
| Xiaoyin Yang v Timofei Derepasko | 5.13 / 1.16 | 82% T. Derepasko |