THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerHardWuning 3 (China) - Qualification2026-10-04 08:30

Yuta Kikuchi v Kosuke Ogura

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
K. Ogura to win1.61
Price too short today - wait for 1.78 or bigger · our chance 56% · market 43/57, us 44/56

K. Ogura is 4-6 over the last ten. Y. Kikuchi is 3-7 over the last ten.

The pick is K. Ogura to win. We make it a 56% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.78 or bigger. At 1.61 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

Y. KikuchiK. Ogura
1024Ranking828
3-7Last 104-6
LWWLWLast 5LWWLW
-V the odds-0.1
14-15Season22-30
-Surface-
0Last 7 days3
19dDays rest2d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

Y. Kikuchi2.1543%
K. OguraFAV1.6357%
Market says57% Ogura

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

Y. Kikuchi1
K. Ogura0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationY. KikuchivK. Ogura2 - 0

This season & this event

Y. Kikuchi
K. Ogura
16-15
16-14
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
22-31
22-30
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Yuta Kikuchi
Japan
Kosuke Ogura
Japan
1024
27
Japan
13–14
0
13–13
0–1
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
828
30
Japan
20–28
0
20–27
0–1
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

Y. Kikuchi — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardR. Matsuda0 - 22.9069%WON
2026-10-04Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardK. Ogura2 - 02.1557%WON
2026-09-15Guangzhou 2HardB. Tomic2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-14Guangzhou 2HardT. Huang0 - 2——WON
2026-09-13Guangzhou 2HardM. Haliak0 - 0 RET——WON
2026-09-10M25 SapporoHardY. Chung2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-08M25 SapporoHardS. Okabe0 - 2——WON
2026-08-11M15 Tianjin 2HardK. Ogura1 - 1 RET——LOST
2026-08-04M15 TianjinHardSun Qian0 - 2——LOST
2026-06-09M15 TokyoHardS. Hazawa2 - 1——LOST

K. Ogura — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardY. Kikuchi2 - 01.6357%LOST
2026-10-02M15 Luan 4HardR. Matsuda2 - 02.5664%LOST
2026-10-01M15 Luan 4HardD. J. Kim2 - 1——WON
2026-09-29M15 Luan 4HardM. Zhang2 - 01.2275%WON
2026-09-14Guangzhou 2HardA. Binda2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-13Guangzhou 2HardD. Sumizawa0 - 2——WON
2026-09-10M25 SapporoHardS. C. Hong0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-09M25 SapporoHardR. Catry0 - 2——WON
2026-09-02M25 Urayasu (Japan)HardY. Erel2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-26M25 Taipei 2HardO. Jasika0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Yuta Kikuchi or Kosuke Ogura?

Kosuke Ogura is favourite at 1.63, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Yuta Kikuchi vs Kosuke Ogura?

Yuta Kikuchi is 2.15 and Kosuke Ogura is 1.63, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.

What is the head-to-head between Yuta Kikuchi and Kosuke Ogura?

They have met 1 time and Yuta Kikuchi leads 1-0.

Who will win Yuta Kikuchi vs Kosuke Ogura?

Our model makes it Kosuke Ogura to win at 1.61 (Lean confidence).

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