THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerHardWuning 3 (China) - Qualification2026-10-04 04:00

Naoya Honda v Kristjan Tamm

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
N. Honda to win1.34
Price too short today - wait for 1.46 or bigger · our chance 69% · market 69/31, us 69/31

N. Honda is 4-6 over the last ten. K. Tamm is 4-6 over the last ten.

The pick is N. Honda to win. We make it a 69% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.46 or bigger. At 1.34 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

N. HondaK. Tamm
656Ranking-
4-6Last 104-6
LLWWWLast 5LLLWW
-V the odds-
26-23Season6-9
-Surface-
1Last 7 days0
6dDays rest16d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

N. HondaFAV1.3469%
K. Tamm2.9731%
Market says69% Honda

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

K. TammLWLLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

N. Honda0
K. Tamm1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationN. HondavK. Tamm0 - 2

This season & this event

N. Honda
K. Tamm
26-24
26-24
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
7-10
7-8
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Naoya Honda
Japan
Kristjan Tamm
Estonia
656
20
Japan
24–21
0
24–21
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
934
28
Estonia
16–22
0
14–20
2–2
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

N. Honda — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardK. Tamm0 - 21.3469%LOST
2026-09-28JingshanHardM. Sharipov2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-17Guangzhou 2HardP. Bar Biryukov2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-15Guangzhou 2HardN. Basilashvili1 - 1 RET——WON
2026-09-14Guangzhou 2HardJ. Flores2 - 0——WON
2026-09-13Guangzhou 2HardH. Duan2 - 0——WON
2026-09-09M25 SapporoHardR. Tanuma2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-03M25 Urayasu (Japan)HardN. Nakagawa0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-02M25 Urayasu (Japan)HardS. Nakanishi2 - 0——WON
2026-08-12M25 East Lansing, MIHardN. Filin1 - 2——LOST

K. Tamm — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardM. Borisiouk0 - 23.5173%LOST
2026-10-04Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardN. Honda0 - 22.9769%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryF. Roncadelli2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-07Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardD. J. Kim2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-04M15 Wuning 7 (China)HardY. Tomida2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-03M15 Wuning 7 (China)HardZ. Talic0 - 2——WON
2026-09-02M15 Wuning 7 (China)HardR. Komagata2 - 1——WON
2026-08-28M25 Taipei 2HardM. Dellavedova0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-27M25 Taipei 2HardA. Weber0 - 2——WON
2026-08-26M25 Taipei 2HardR. Nakamura2 - 0——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Naoya Honda or Kristjan Tamm?

Naoya Honda is favourite at 1.34, which is a 69% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Naoya Honda vs Kristjan Tamm?

Naoya Honda is 1.34 and Kristjan Tamm is 2.97, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.

What is the head-to-head between Naoya Honda and Kristjan Tamm?

They have met 1 time and Kristjan Tamm leads 1-0.

Who will win Naoya Honda vs Kristjan Tamm?

Our model makes it Naoya Honda to win at 1.34 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event