ChallengerHard (Indoor)Taipei2026-11-02 04:30

Yosuke Watanuki v Kang Leong Mitsuki Wei

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

W. K. Leong M. to win a set (set handicap +1.5)

Worth backing at 2.06 or bigger · our chance 49% · market 83/17, us 80/20

W. K. Leong M. is 5-5 over the last ten and 44-26 on hard this season. Y. Watanuki is 6-4 over the last ten and 12-13 on hard this season.

The pick is W. K. Leong M. to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 49% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.06 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

Y. Watanuki		W. K. Leong M.
420	Ranking	424
6-4	Last 10	5-5
WLWWW	Last 5	WLLWL
-0.4	V the odds	-0.4
13-14	Season	44-27
12-13	Hard 2026	44-26
1	Last 7 days	1
1d	Days rest	1d
1	Wins here	1
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

Y. WatanukiFAV1.1083%

W. K. Leong M.5.5017%

Market says83% Watanuki

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Y. WatanukiWLWWW

W. K. Leong M.WLLWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

Y. Watanuki

W. K. Leong M.

13-14

12-13

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

44-27

44-26

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Yosuke Watanuki

Japan

Kang Leong Mitsuki Wei

Malaysia

420

Japan

8–13

7–9

0–4

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

424

Malaysia

42–25

42–24

—

0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

Y. Watanuki — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-01	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	D. Palan	1.06	89%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-0 WatanukiPalanPoints won62%38%Serve points won77%53%Return points won47%23%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved0 of 12 of 6Aces76Double faults05
2026-10-16	Jinan	Hard	S. Mochizuki	1.77	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 2-6 6-7 WatanukiMochizukiPoints won47%53%Serve points won54%59%Return points won41%46%Games held9 of 1510 of 15Break points saved10 of 165 of 10Aces76Double faults45
2026-10-15	Jinan	Hard	M. Cilic	2.52	62%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-4 WatanukiCilicPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%62%Return points won38%32%Games held10 of 118 of 11Break points saved1 of 26 of 9Aces117Double faults24
2026-10-14	Jinan	Hard	A. Ilagan	1.71	56%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-2 WatanukiIlaganPoints won61%39%Serve points won76%50%Return points won50%24%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved2 of 27 of 11Aces112Double faults23
2026-10-12	Jinan	Hard	K. Uesugi	1.06	88%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-2 WatanukiUesugiPoints won63%37%Serve points won86%52%Return points won48%14%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved0 of 03 of 7Aces63Double faults03
2026-10-11	Jinan	Hard	S. Pankin	1.38	69%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-0 WatanukiPankinPoints won67%33%Serve points won71%38%Return points won62%29%Games held7 of 71 of 6Break points saved2 of 21 of 6Aces40Double faults15
2026-09-07	Shanghai	Hard	M. Sharipov	1.78	54%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 5-7 2-6 WatanukiSharipovPoints won46%54%Serve points won67%74%Return points won26%33%Games held13 of 1616 of 16Break points saved1 of 44 of 4Aces621Double faults03
2026-09-02	Zhangjiagang	Hard	C. H. Tseng	2.02	53%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 3-6 WatanukiTsengPoints won46%54%Serve points won54%67%Return points won33%46%Games held7 of 119 of 10Break points saved12 of 162 of 3Aces53Double faults80
2026-08-31	Zhangjiagang	Hard	S. Pankin	1.34	71%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-5 WatanukiPankinPoints won55%45%Serve points won70%56%Return points won44%30%Games held9 of 107 of 11Break points saved5 of 66 of 10Aces82Double faults13
2026-07-29	Vancouver	Hard	H. Matsuoka	1.42	68%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6 WatanukiMatsuokaPoints won45%55%Serve points won51%62%Return points won38%49%Games held4 of 97 of 9Break points saved5 of 101 of 3Aces62Double faults44

W. K. Leong M. — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-01	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	T. Chen		1.07	87%	WON
Games in each set6-1 7-6 M.ChenPoints won56%44%Serve points won75%62%Return points won38%25%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved1 of 14 of 6Aces153Double faults10
2026-10-25	Ningbo	Hard	Sun Qian		—	—	LOST
Games in each set4-6 5-7 M.QianPoints won48%52%Serve points won54%57%Return points won43%46%Games held6 of 118 of 11Break points saved4 of 97 of 10Aces54Double faults86
2026-10-19	Guangzhou	Hard	L. Castelnuovo		1.83	50%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 M.CastelnuovoPoints won42%58%Serve points won63%84%Return points won16%37%Games held7 of 109 of 9Break points saved1 of 41 of 1Aces78Double faults41
2026-10-18	Guangzhou	Hard	F. Jiang	RET	1.05	90%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-4 3-1 M.JiangPoints won53%47%Serve points won67%61%Return points won39%33%Games held11 of 139 of 13Break points saved6 of 85 of 9Aces162Double faults55
2026-10-07	Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification	Hard	J. D. Hara Friend		3.27	71%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 M.FriendPoints won45%55%Serve points won61%66%Return points won34%39%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved2 of 54 of 4Aces12Double faults12
2026-10-05	Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification	Hard	S. Rawat		1.29	74%	WON
Games in each set6-3 4-6 6-1 M.RawatPoints won58%42%Serve points won69%51%Return points won49%31%Games held10 of 137 of 13Break points saved1 of 43 of 9Aces61Double faults52
2026-09-29	Jingshan	Hard	M. Sharipov		4.03	77%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 3-6 M.SharipovPoints won42%58%Serve points won53%68%Return points won32%47%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved5 of 93 of 4Aces111Double faults51
2026-09-28	Jingshan	Hard	T. J. Fancutt		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 M.FancuttPoints won58%42%Serve points won82%59%Return points won41%18%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved0 of 03 of 5Aces103Double faults02
2026-09-18	Guangzhou 2	Hard	P. Bar Biryukov		1.72	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-4 6-7 M.BiryukovPoints won50%50%Serve points won67%66%Return points won34%33%Games held15 of 1714 of 17Break points saved0 of 25 of 8Aces812Double faults35
2026-09-17	Guangzhou 2	Hard	J. K. Trotter		2.58	64%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 M.TrotterPoints won58%42%Serve points won69%51%Return points won49%31%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved3 of 46 of 10Aces53Double faults47

Common questions

Who is favourite, Yosuke Watanuki or Kang Leong Mitsuki Wei?

Yosuke Watanuki is favourite at 1.10, which is a 83% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Yosuke Watanuki vs Kang Leong Mitsuki Wei?

Yosuke Watanuki is 1.10 and Kang Leong Mitsuki Wei is 5.50, the prices we recorded for the Taipei match.

Who will win Yosuke Watanuki vs Kang Leong Mitsuki Wei?

Our model makes it Kang Leong Mitsuki Wei to win a set (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

Broom v Broady Chen v Harris Demin v Muller Hsu v Vukic Mayot v Biryukov McCabe v Sakamoto