THE TENNIS TRADER
SATURDAY 26 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 98EVENTS 40LIVE 2ALERTS 61
ATPHardChengdu · 1/8-finals2026-09-25 04:00

Vit Kopriva v Denis Shapovalov

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
D. Shapovalov to win 2-01.57
Price too short today - wait for 1.93 or bigger · our chance 52% · market 21/79, us 19/81

D. Shapovalov is 6-4 over the last ten and 15-13 on hard this season. V. Kopriva is 3-7 over the last ten and 17-13 on hard this season. The head to head is V. Kopriva 1-0.

The pick is D. Shapovalov to win 2-0. We make it a 52% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.93 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

V. KoprivaD. Shapovalov
55Ranking37
3-7Last 106-4
WLLWLLast 5WLWWL
-1.6V the odds+0.9
25-26Season17-19
17-13Hard 202615-13
1Last 7 days1
2dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

V. Kopriva4.5021%
D. ShapovalovFAV1.2079%
Market says79% Shapovalov

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

V. Kopriva1
D. Shapovalov1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-25ChengduV. KoprivavD. Shapovalov0 - 2
2021-07-22GstaadD. ShapovalovvV. Kopriva1 - 2

This season & this event

V. Kopriva
D. Shapovalov
25-27
17-14
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
18-19
16-13
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Vit Kopriva
Czech Republic
Denis Shapovalov
Canada
55
29
Czech Republic
18–13
0
6–5
12–8
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
37
27
Canada
8–9
0
6–6
2–3
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

V. Kopriva — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-25ChengduHardD. Shapovalov0 - 24.5079%LOST
2026-09-23ChengduHardJ. Hu2 - 0——WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardT. M. Etcheverry3 - 02.6864%LOST
2026-08-22Cancun 2HardL. Harris0 - 22.2256%LOST
2026-08-20Cancun 2HardG. Onclin2 - 01.7156%WON
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardQ. Halys0 - 23.0569%LOST
2026-08-05MontrealHardJ. Lehecka2 - 04.5579%LOST
2026-08-03MontrealHardA. Galarneau0 - 22.0252%WON
2026-07-20KitzbuhelclayI. Buse1 - 22.6964%LOST
2026-07-13UmagclayD. Prizmic0 - 23.6373%LOST

D. Shapovalov — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-25ChengduHardV. Kopriva0 - 21.2079%WON
2026-09-23ChengduHardT. Griekspoor0 - 21.7555%WON
2026-09-04US OpenHardB. Shelton3 - 14.4678%LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardL. van Assche3 - 01.6759%WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardM. Kecmanovic1 - 31.7257%WON
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardR. Jodar2 - 13.0568%LOST
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardA. Mannarino2 - 01.7057%WON
2026-08-04MontrealHardZ. Svajda1 - 1 RET1.6659%LOST
2026-08-02Los CabosHardA. Gea2 - 01.6559%LOST
2026-08-01Los CabosHardC. Norrie1 - 22.3759%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Vit Kopriva or Denis Shapovalov?

Denis Shapovalov is favourite at 1.20, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov?

Vit Kopriva is 4.50 and Denis Shapovalov is 1.20, the prices we recorded for the Chengdu match.

What is the head-to-head between Vit Kopriva and Denis Shapovalov?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Vit Kopriva vs Denis Shapovalov?

Our model makes it Denis Shapovalov to win 2-0 at 1.57 (Lean confidence).

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