Alejandro Tabilo v Adrian Mannarino
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTA. Tabilo is 5-5 over the last ten and 14-13 on hard this season. A. Mannarino is 4-6 over the last ten and 12-19 on hard this season.
The pick is A. Tabilo to win. We make it a 70% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.43 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Tabilo | A. Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Ranking | 67 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LLWLW | Last 5 | WLWLW |
| +0.9 | V the odds | -0.2 |
| 36-25 | Season | 17-29 |
| 14-13 | Hard 2026 | 12-19 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 6d | Days rest | 2d |
| 0 | Wins here | 1 |
| Defending title | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | A. TabilovA. Mannarino | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Tabilo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Mannarino | 0 - 2 | 1.44 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | D. Merida Aguilar | 1 - 2 | 1.76 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | A. Zverev | 3 - 0 | 5.38 | 82% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | Y. Hanfmann | 1 - 3 | 1.76 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati | Hard | R. Jodar | 2 - 0 | 2.90 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | J-L. Struff | 0 - 2 | 1.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 0 | 2.27 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-02 | Washington | Hard | R. Jodar | 2 - 1 | 3.29 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-08-01 | Washington | Hard | B. Shelton | 2 - 1 | 3.96 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-07-30 | Washington | Hard | T. Atmane | 0 - 2 | 2.17 | 55% | WON |
A. Mannarino — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Tabilo | 0 - 2 | 2.75 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | J. Shang | 0 - 2 | 2.88 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | M. Bobichon | 0 - 2 | 1.16 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | D. Added | 2 - 0 | 1.13 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | A. Bublik | 3 - 0 | 4.10 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 3 | 3.15 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | L. Sonego | 0 - 2 | 2.24 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 0 | 2.27 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | 2.56 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-07-30 | Washington | Hard | A. Michelsen | 2 - 0 | 3.70 | 74% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alejandro Tabilo or Adrian Mannarino?
Alejandro Tabilo is favourite at 1.44, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino?
Alejandro Tabilo is 1.44 and Adrian Mannarino is 2.75, the prices we recorded for the Chengdu match.
What is the head-to-head between Alejandro Tabilo and Adrian Mannarino?
They have met 1 time and Adrian Mannarino leads 1-0.
Who will win Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino?
Our model makes it Alejandro Tabilo to win at 1.44 (Solid confidence).