WTAHardHong Kong · 1/16-finals2026-11-02 03:00

Venus Williams v Mary Stoiana

The market

V. Williams5.5017%

M. StoianaFAV1.1483%

Market says83% Stoiana

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

V. WilliamsLLLLL

M. StoianaLWWWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

V. Williams

M. Stoiana

0-13

0-12

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

46-27

24-16

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Venus Williams

USA

Mary Stoiana

USA

582

USA

0–1

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

122

USA

39–23

18–13

13–6

8–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

V. Williams — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Guangzhou	Hard	L. Tagger	11.36	91%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 2-6 WilliamsTaggerPoints won39%61%Serve points won53%82%Return points won18%47%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved12 of 160 of 0Aces47Double faults01
2026-08-31	US Open	Hard	S. Kenin	6.53	85%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-7 WilliamsKeninPoints won47%53%Serve points won53%59%Return points won41%47%Games held6 of 108 of 10Break points saved5 of 95 of 7Aces01Double faults64
2026-08-14	Cincinnati	Hard	E. Arango	3.38	71%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 2-6 WilliamsArangoPoints won39%61%Serve points won48%69%Return points won31%52%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved1 of 51 of 1Aces12Double faults21
2026-08-02	Toronto	Hard	K. Rakhimova	4.59	79%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 1-6 WilliamsRakhimovaPoints won45%55%Serve points won50%60%Return points won40%50%Games held4 of 97 of 8Break points saved1 of 63 of 4Aces21Double faults65
2026-07-29	Washington	Hard	A. Potapova	6.27	85%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 WilliamsPotapovaPoints won41%59%Serve points won55%80%Return points won20%45%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved5 of 80 of 0Aces12Double faults23
2026-06-22	Bad Homburg	Grass	I. Begu	4.18	77%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-4 6-7 WilliamsBeguPoints won50%50%Serve points won58%60%Return points won40%42%Games held11 of 1512 of 15Break points saved12 of 167 of 10Aces73Double faults115
2026-04-21	Madrid	Hard	K. Quevedo	4.66	79%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 4-6 WilliamsQuevedoPoints won43%57%Serve points won48%62%Return points won38%52%Games held4 of 97 of 9Break points saved6 of 112 of 4Aces01Double faults33
2026-03-19	Miami	Hard	F. Jones	2.75	65%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 5-7 WilliamsJonesPoints won46%54%Serve points won53%60%Return points won40%47%Games held7 of 129 of 12Aces32Double faults75
2026-03-05	WTA Indian Wells	Hard	D. Parry	4.14	77%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 7-6 1-6 WilliamsParryPoints won45%55%Serve points won62%69%Return points won31%38%Games held9 of 1314 of 15Break points saved2 of 63 of 4Aces410Double faults62
2026-02-24	WTA Austin	Hard	A. Tomljanovic	3.88	75%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 1-6 WilliamsTomljanovicPoints won42%58%Serve points won46%61%Return points won39%54%Games held3 of 87 of 9Break points saved9 of 146 of 8Aces20Double faults35

M. Stoiana — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-23	Osaka	Hard	K. Siniakova	3.24	70%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 2-6 StoianaSiniakovaPoints won38%62%Serve points won46%68%Return points won32%54%Games held3 of 78 of 8Break points saved4 of 86 of 6Aces10Double faults13
2026-10-21	Osaka	Hard	M. Uchijima	1.65	59%	WON
Games in each set6-2 2-6 6-3 StoianaUchijimaPoints won51%49%Serve points won60%59%Return points won41%40%Games held10 of 138 of 12Break points saved4 of 76 of 10Aces02Double faults31
2026-10-20	Osaka	Hard	O. Oliynykova	1.41	69%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 StoianaOliynykovaPoints won56%44%Serve points won43%38%Return points won62%57%Games held3 of 80 of 9Break points saved0 of 511 of 20Aces02Double faults26
2026-10-18	Osaka	Hard	S. Ishii	1.11	86%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-5 StoianaIshiiPoints won53%47%Serve points won51%46%Return points won54%49%Games held6 of 114 of 11Break points saved5 of 103 of 10Aces11Double faults37
2026-10-17	Osaka	Hard	R. Matsuda	1.10	87%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-6 StoianaMatsudaPoints won55%45%Serve points won60%50%Return points won50%40%Games held7 of 115 of 10Break points saved0 of 44 of 9Aces12Double faults50
2026-10-01	W100 Templeton	Hard	J. Pareja	1.67	55%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 5-7 StoianaParejaPoints won47%53%Serve points won46%53%Return points won47%54%Games held5 of 127 of 12Break points saved8 of 158 of 13
2026-09-30	W100 Templeton	Hard	H. Chang	1.18	81%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 StoianaChangPoints won55%45%Serve points won63%52%Return points won48%37%Games held8 of 105 of 9Break points saved7 of 95 of 9
2026-09-18	Sao Paulo	Clay	P. Badosa	2.95	68%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6 StoianaBadosaPoints won42%58%Serve points won44%61%Return points won39%56%Games held4 of 97 of 9Break points saved5 of 103 of 5Aces02Double faults55
2026-09-16	Sao Paulo	Clay	D. Salkova	1.50	64%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-1 StoianaSalkovaPoints won57%43%Serve points won58%45%Return points won55%42%Games held6 of 94 of 10Break points saved1 of 45 of 11Aces10Double faults23
2026-09-14	Sao Paulo	Clay	C. Liu	2.11	54%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-5 StoianaLiuPoints won55%45%Serve points won55%45%Return points won55%45%Games held7 of 114 of 10Break points saved7 of 117 of 13Aces03Double faults48

Common questions

Who is favourite, Venus Williams or Mary Stoiana?

Mary Stoiana is favourite at 1.14, which is a 83% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana?

Venus Williams is 5.50 and Mary Stoiana is 1.14, the prices we recorded for the Hong Kong match.

Also at this event

Cirstea v Timofeeva Fernandez v Kenin Gibson v Oliynykova Golubic v Boulter Inglis v Joint Parks v Eala