THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 12 OCTOBERMATCHES 194EVENTS 13LIVE 4ALERTS 63
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Roanne2026-10-11 10:00

Tom Paris v Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongLOST
Y. Ghazouani Durand to win1.69
Worth backing at 1.58 or bigger · our chance 64% · market 44/56, us 36/64

Y. Ghazouani Durand is 6-4 over the last ten and 25-14 on hard this season. T. Paris is 4-6 over the last ten and 3-7 on hard this season.

The pick is Y. Ghazouani Durand to win. We make it a 64% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.58 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. ParisY. Ghazouani Durand
-Ranking547
4-6Last 106-4
LLLWLLast 5LWWLL
-0.7V the odds+1.1
4-9Season36-22
3-7Hard 202625-14
0Last 7 days0
14dDays rest12d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. Paris2.2143%
Y. Ghazouani DurandFAV1.6857%
Market says57% Durand

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

T. Paris1
Y. Ghazouani Durand0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-11RoanneT. ParisvY. Ghazouani Durand2 - 1

This season & this event

T. Paris
Y. Ghazouani Durand
6-9
5-7
Lost R32 to O. Virtanen
Reached ?
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
36-23
25-15
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Tom Paris
France
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
France
252
24
France
45–28
2
35–17
10–11
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
547
26
France
32–19
0
21–11
11–8
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Paris — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12RoanneHard (Indoor)L. Poullain0 - 23.3872%WON
2026-10-11RoanneHard (Indoor)Y. Ghazouani Durand2 - 12.2157%WON
2026-09-27Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)N. Visker2 - 02.0555%LOST
2026-05-25KosiceClayL. Pokorny2 - 12.0954%LOST
2026-04-28Aix en ProvenceClayS. Gueymard Wayenburg2 - 03.0068%LOST
2026-04-27Aix en ProvenceClayL. Lokoli1 - 1 RET2.9868%WON
2026-04-20GwangjuHardWu Tung-Lin2 - 03.3371%LOST
2026-04-19GwangjuHardY. Chung1 - 21.5064%WON
2026-04-06Wuning (China)HardI. Simakin1 - 22.6665%LOST
2026-03-20M25 Toulouse-BalmaHardR. Perot1 - 0 RET1.8751%LOST

Y. Ghazouani Durand — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11RoanneHard (Indoor)T. Paris2 - 11.6857%LOST
2026-09-29Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)N. Budkov Kjaer0 - 24.2778%LOST
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)L. Rossi0 - 21.5759%WON
2026-09-27Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)E. Hudd2 - 11.6257%WON
2026-09-20St. TropezHardK. Poling0 - 21.5761%LOST
2026-09-17RennesHard (Indoor)F. Maestrelli2 - 13.0569%LOST
2026-09-15RennesHard (Indoor)L. Raquillet0 - 21.5463%WON
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)N. Slavic1 - 21.3173%WON
2026-09-13RennesHard (Indoor)G. Brouwer1 - 22.1054%WON
2026-09-10CassisHardN. Budkov Kjaer2 - 04.6379%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Tom Paris or Yanis Ghazouani Durand?

Yanis Ghazouani Durand is favourite at 1.68, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Tom Paris vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?

Tom Paris is 2.21 and Yanis Ghazouani Durand is 1.68, the prices we recorded for the Roanne match.

What is the head-to-head between Tom Paris and Yanis Ghazouani Durand?

They have met 1 time and Tom Paris leads 1-0.

Who will win Tom Paris vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?

Our model makes it Yanis Ghazouani Durand to win at 1.69 (Strong confidence).

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