THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 12 OCTOBERMATCHES 194EVENTS 13LIVE 4ALERTS 63
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Roanne2026-10-11 10:00

Norbert Gombos v Mickael Kaouk

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
N. Gombos to win1.31
Price too short today - wait for 1.39 or bigger · our chance 72% · market 73/27, us 72/28

N. Gombos is 6-4 over the last ten and 6-7 on hard this season. M. Kaouk is 5-5 over the last ten and 6-9 on hard this season.

The pick is N. Gombos to win. We make it a 72% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.39 or bigger. At 1.31 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

N. GombosM. Kaouk
369Ranking1562
6-4Last 105-5
WLLWLLast 5LLLWW
+0.1V the odds+0.7
33-24Season14-18
6-7Hard 20266-9
0Last 7 days0
21dDays rest21d
0Wins here0
21d outFitness21d out
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

N. GombosFAV1.3173%
M. Kaouk3.5427%
Market says73% Gombos

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

N. Gombos1
M. Kaouk0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-11RoanneN. GombosvM. Kaouk2 - 0

This season & this event

N. Gombos
M. Kaouk
35-24
8-7
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
14-19
6-10
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Norbert Gombos
Slovakia
Mickael Kaouk
France
369
36
Slovakia
32–23
0
3–4
29–18
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
1562
18
France
0–1
0
0–1
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

N. Gombos — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12RoanneHard (Indoor)R. Catry2 - 11.2279%WON
2026-10-11RoanneHard (Indoor)M. Kaouk2 - 01.3173%WON
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryS. Sakellaridis2 - 01.5662%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryS. Tsitsipas0 - 26.4385%LOST
2026-09-07TullnClayO. Wallin0 - 21.4566%LOST
2026-09-06TullnClayA. Wagner2 - 01.1285%WON
2026-09-02ComoClayT. Seyboth Wild2 - 02.5663%LOST
2026-09-01ComoClayS. Kopp2 - 01.8951%WON
2026-08-31ComoClayS. Gulin2 - 01.6756%WON
2026-08-30ComoClayA. de Marchi2 - 01.1980%WON

M. Kaouk — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11RoanneHard (Indoor)N. Gombos2 - 03.5473%LOST
2026-09-20St. TropezHardJ. Boulais1 - 23.2270%LOST
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)A. Matusevich0 - 23.7075%LOST
2026-09-11M25 Plaisir + H (France)HardP. Zahraj0 - 22.0353%LOST
2026-09-10M25 Plaisir + H (France)HardN. Ifi2 - 0——WON
2026-09-08M25 Plaisir + H (France)HardM. Ponchet0 - 21.3869%WON
2026-08-14M25 KoksijdeClayL. G. Verwerft2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-12M25 KoksijdeClayL. Lokoli2 - 03.6874%WON
2026-08-11M25 KoksijdeClayJ. Trainauskas2 - 01.0988%WON
2026-07-01TroyesClayM. Moeller0 - 23.6674%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Norbert Gombos or Mickael Kaouk?

Norbert Gombos is favourite at 1.31, which is a 73% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Norbert Gombos vs Mickael Kaouk?

Norbert Gombos is 1.31 and Mickael Kaouk is 3.54, the prices we recorded for the Roanne match.

What is the head-to-head between Norbert Gombos and Mickael Kaouk?

They have met 1 time and Norbert Gombos leads 1-0.

Who will win Norbert Gombos vs Mickael Kaouk?

Our model makes it Norbert Gombos to win at 1.31 (Lean confidence).

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