THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 12 OCTOBERMATCHES 194EVENTS 13LIVE 4ALERTS 63
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Roanne2026-10-11 10:00

Timeo Trufelli v Thijs Boogaard

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
T. Trufelli to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.58 or bigger · our chance 63% · market 28/72, us 34/66

T. Trufelli is 3-7 over the last ten and 5-11 on hard this season. T. Boogaard is 4-6 over the last ten and 20-12 on hard this season. T. Boogaard took a medical timeout on 2026-10-04.

The pick is T. Trufelli to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.58 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. TrufelliT. Boogaard
-Ranking1206
3-7Last 104-6
LWLWWLast 5LLLWL
-0.1V the odds-3.7
9-24Season28-19
5-11Hard 202620-12
2Last 7 days1
3dDays rest7d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessMTO
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. Trufelli3.4128%
T. BoogaardFAV1.3372%
Market says72% Boogaard

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

T. Trufelli0
T. Boogaard1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-11RoanneT. TrufellivT. Boogaard1 - 2

This season & this event

T. Trufelli
T. Boogaard
9-25
5-12
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
29-20
21-13
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Timeo Trufelli
France
Thijs Boogaard
Netherlands
1544
18
France
3–5
0
3–4
0–1
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
1206
18
Netherlands
1–1
0
1–1
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Trufelli — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11RoanneHard (Indoor)T. Boogaard1 - 23.4172%LOST
2026-10-08M15+H RodezHardA. Gobat1 - 23.1269%LOST
2026-10-06M15+H RodezHardG. Brouwer0 - 23.5173%WON
2026-09-25M15 ForbachGrassA. Nagel2 - 04.7480%LOST
2026-09-24M15 ForbachGrassL. Van Herck2 - 11.7156%WON
2026-09-22M15 ForbachGrassA. Hueller-Varga0 - 2——WON
2026-09-16M25 NeversHardH. Car1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-26M15 Cap d'AgdeClayL. Branger1 - 22.3659%LOST
2026-08-04M25 Fano (Italy)ClayM. Giunta0 - 29.1189%LOST
2026-07-28M15 Strasbourg (France)ClayT. Papamalamis2 - 06.2785%LOST

T. Boogaard — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12RoanneHard (Indoor)H. Bernet2 - 04.5079%LOST
2026-10-11RoanneHard (Indoor)T. Trufelli1 - 21.3372%WON
2026-10-04VillenaClayP. Henning2 - 12.8767%LOST
2026-09-27Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)A. Barroso Campos2 - 01.2574%LOST
2026-09-23M25 FalunHard (Indoor)L. Renard2 - 01.0294%LOST
2026-09-22M25 FalunHard (Indoor)L. Nyqvist0 - 2——WON
2026-09-09M15 Hurghada 8 (Egypt)HardS. Petrov0 - 21.0592%LOST
2026-09-04M15 Hurghada 7 (Egypt)HardC. Gannon0 - 21.1778%LOST
2026-09-03M15 Hurghada 7 (Egypt)HardZ. Vanderstappen2 - 0——WON
2026-09-02M15 Hurghada 7 (Egypt)HardK. Mabrouk2 - 01.0493%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Timeo Trufelli or Thijs Boogaard?

Thijs Boogaard is favourite at 1.33, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Timeo Trufelli vs Thijs Boogaard?

Timeo Trufelli is 3.41 and Thijs Boogaard is 1.33, the prices we recorded for the Roanne match.

What is the head-to-head between Timeo Trufelli and Thijs Boogaard?

They have met 1 time and Thijs Boogaard leads 1-0.

Who will win Timeo Trufelli vs Thijs Boogaard?

Our model makes it Timeo Trufelli to win a set (Solid confidence).

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