THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 24 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 215EVENTS 37LIVE 9ALERTS 46
ChallengerHardSt. Tropez2026-09-23 10:00

Thomas Faurel v Mark Lajal

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
M. Lajal to win 2-01.57
Price too short today - wait for 1.81 or bigger · our chance 55% · market 21/79, us 16/84

M. Lajal is 8-2 over the last ten and 27-15 on hard this season. T. Faurel is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-8 on hard this season.

The pick is M. Lajal to win 2-0. We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.81 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. FaurelM. Lajal
351Ranking140
6-4Last 108-2
WLWWWLast 5WLWWW
-0.4V the odds+0.4
28-25Season36-23
16-8Hard 202627-15
3Last 7 days1
1dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessDefending semi
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. Faurel5.1019%
M. LajalFAV1.1981%
Market says81% Lajal

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

T. Faurel0
M. Lajal1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-23St. TropezT. FaurelvM. Lajal0 - 2

This season & this event

T. Faurel
M. Lajal
Defending semi
28-26
16-9
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
37-23
28-15
Lost SF to M. Echargui
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Thomas Faurel
France
Mark Lajal
Estonia
351
20
France
25–25
0
12–6
13–19
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
140
23
Estonia
37–23
0
31–16
0–1
5–6

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Faurel — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23St. TropezHardM. Lajal0 - 25.1081%LOST
2026-09-22St. TropezHardH. Grenier0 - 22.2058%WON
2026-09-18M25 NeversHardA. Petrovic1 - 21.2477%LOST
2026-09-17M25 NeversHardY. Batsabaken2 - 01.0790%WON
2026-09-15M25 NeversHardA. Freire Da Silva2 - 11.1086%WON
2026-09-02Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayC. Hemery1 - 1 RET1.6756%WON
2026-09-01Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayG. Tabacco2 - 01.3571%WON
2026-08-25AugsburgClayM. Moeller2 - 02.2157%LOST
2026-08-17PragueClayC. Cretu2 - 11.8551%LOST
2026-08-13TodiClayN. Kicker2 - 01.6060%LOST

M. Lajal — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23St. TropezHardT. Faurel0 - 21.1981%WON
2026-09-21St. TropezHardD. Goffin0 - 21.2776%WON
2026-09-13CassisHardT. Droguet2 - 02.1154%LOST
2026-09-12CassisHardD. Masur2 - 01.2180%WON
2026-09-10CassisHardS. Gueymard Wayenburg1 - 21.4068%WON
2026-09-08CassisHardL. Couturier0 - 21.0195%WON
2026-09-05MallorcaHardF. Balshaw0 - 21.5762%LOST
2026-09-03MallorcaHardI. Ivanov1 - 21.1880%WON
2026-09-02MallorcaHardN. Budkov Kjaer2 - 01.7456%WON
2026-09-01MallorcaHardG. A. Boitan2 - 0——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Thomas Faurel or Mark Lajal?

Mark Lajal is favourite at 1.19, which is a 81% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Thomas Faurel vs Mark Lajal?

Thomas Faurel is 5.10 and Mark Lajal is 1.19, the prices we recorded for the St. Tropez match.

What is the head-to-head between Thomas Faurel and Mark Lajal?

They have met 1 time and Mark Lajal leads 1-0.

Who will win Thomas Faurel vs Mark Lajal?

Our model makes it Mark Lajal to win 2-0 at 1.57 (Lean confidence).

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