THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 24 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 215EVENTS 37LIVE 9ALERTS 46
ChallengerHardSt. Tropez2026-09-23 10:00

Daniil Glinka v Ugo Blanchet

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
D. Glinka to win1.76
Price too short today - wait for 1.81 or bigger · our chance 55% · market 52/48, us 55/45

D. Glinka is 7-3 over the last ten and 21-15 on hard this season. U. Blanchet is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-16 on hard this season.

The pick is D. Glinka to win. We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.81 or bigger. At 1.76 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. GlinkaU. Blanchet
170Ranking331
7-3Last 106-4
WWWLLLast 5WLWLW
+1.6V the odds+0.6
30-26Season18-23
21-15Hard 202616-16
1Last 7 days2
1dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. GlinkaFAV1.9350%
U. Blanchet1.9450%
Market says50% Glinka

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. Glinka1
U. Blanchet0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-23St. TropezD. GlinkavU. Blanchet2 - 1

This season & this event

D. Glinka
U. Blanchet
31-26
22-15
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
18-24
16-17
Lost R32 to M. Echargui
Lost SF to G. Brouwer

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Daniil Glinka
Estonia
Ugo Blanchet
France
170
26
Estonia
29–27
0
21–16
8–7
0–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
331
27
France
16–22
0
13–12
3–8
0–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Glinka — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23St. TropezHardU. Blanchet2 - 11.9350%WON
2026-09-22St. TropezHardD. Jade2 - 01.2874%WON
2026-09-09CassisHardM. Erhard0 - 1 RET1.6259%WON
2026-09-07CassisHardR. Peniston0 - 21.3372%WON
2026-09-02MallorcaHardD. Rincon0 - 22.0954%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardZ. Piros2 - 12.4661%LOST
2026-08-25US OpenHardP. Martinez0 - 22.2457%WON
2026-08-22Kingston (Jamaica)HardP. Martinez2 - 02.0353%LOST
2026-08-20Kingston (Jamaica)HardH. Mayot2 - 02.3359%WON
2026-08-19Kingston (Jamaica)HardE. Ymer2 - 01.8851%WON

U. Blanchet — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23St. TropezHardD. Glinka2 - 11.9450%LOST
2026-09-21St. TropezHardN. Mejia0 - 0 RET1.6755%WON
2026-09-16RennesHard (Indoor)S. Gueymard Wayenburg2 - 01.8352%LOST
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)B. Harris2 - 01.6057%WON
2026-09-11CassisHardD. Masur1 - 21.3070%LOST
2026-09-09CassisHardD. Rincon2 - 11.8352%WON
2026-09-08CassisHardL. Lokoli2 - 01.7355%WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardO. Virtanen2 - 02.8667%LOST
2026-08-19Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardS. Sakellaridis2 - 12.4560%LOST
2026-08-18Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardJ. Watt1 - 21.5263%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Daniil Glinka or Ugo Blanchet?

Daniil Glinka is favourite at 1.93, which is a 50% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Daniil Glinka vs Ugo Blanchet?

Daniil Glinka is 1.93 and Ugo Blanchet is 1.94, the prices we recorded for the St. Tropez match.

What is the head-to-head between Daniil Glinka and Ugo Blanchet?

They have met 1 time and Daniil Glinka leads 1-0.

Who will win Daniil Glinka vs Ugo Blanchet?

Our model makes it Daniil Glinka to win at 1.76 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event