THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 15 OCTOBERMATCHES 217EVENTS 35LIVE 6ALERTS 148
ChallengerClaySanta Cruz 22026-10-14 00:30

Thiago Seyboth Wild v Mateus Alves

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
T. Seyboth Wild to win 2-01.57
Price too short today - wait for 1.68 or bigger · our chance 60% · market 83/17, us 87/13

T. Seyboth Wild is 9-1 over the last ten and 34-13 on clay this season. M. Alves is 8-2 over the last ten and 34-10 on clay this season. T. Seyboth Wild has played 4 matches in seven days. M. Alves took a medical timeout on 2026-10-01. The head to head is T. Seyboth Wild 2-0.

The pick is T. Seyboth Wild to win 2-0. We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.68 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. Seyboth WildM. Alves
136Ranking385
9-1Last 108-2
LWWWWLast 5WLWLW
+1.8V the odds-0.7
37-18Season39-16
34-13Clay 202634-10
4Last 7 days1
3dDays rest2d
0Wins here1
ClearFitnessMTO
Head to head
2-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. Seyboth WildFAV1.1583%
M. Alves5.6717%
Market says83% Wild

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

T. Seyboth Wild3
M. Alves0
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-14Santa Cruz 2T. Seyboth WildvM. Alves2 - 0
2023-05-04CoquimboM. AlvesvT. Seyboth Wild0 - 2
2023-03-05Santiago Challenger MenM. AlvesvT. Seyboth Wild1 - 2

This season & this event

T. Seyboth Wild
M. Alves
39-18
36-13
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
39-17
34-11
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Thiago Seyboth Wild
Brazil
Mateus Alves
Brazil
136
26
Brazil
33–17
3
2–3
31–14
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
385
25
Brazil
38–15
5
5–3
33–12
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Seyboth Wild — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14Santa Cruz 2ClayM. Alves2 - 01.1583%WON
2026-10-14Santa Cruz 2ClayC. M. Zarate2 - 0——WON
2026-10-11AntofagastaClayJ. Reis Da Silva1 - 21.3373%LOST
2026-10-10AntofagastaClayL. Midon0 - 21.3870%WON
2026-10-09AntofagastaClayF. Meligeni Alves2 - 01.3770%WON
2026-10-07AntofagastaClayM. A. Dellien Velasco2 - 01.1184%WON
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayM. Soto2 - 01.1881%WON
2026-09-13GenovaClayP. Martinez2 - 01.5662%WON
2026-09-12GenovaClayM. Dodig2 - 11.8154%WON
2026-09-11GenovaClayJ. P. Varillas0 - 21.5861%WON

M. Alves — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14Santa Cruz 2ClayT. Seyboth Wild2 - 05.6783%LOST
2026-10-12Santa Cruz 2ClayB. Fernandez2 - 11.4167%WON
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayJ. Pereira0 - 21.1781%LOST
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayB. De La Pena2 - 01.0194%WON
2026-10-01CuritibaClayG. Villanueva0 - 21.4066%LOST
2026-09-29CuritibaClayJ. Pereira1 - 21.0886%WON
2026-09-27M15 Curitiba (Brazil)ClayP. Sakamoto2 - 0——WON
2026-09-26M15 Curitiba (Brazil)ClayW. Leite2 - 01.0988%WON
2026-09-25M15 Curitiba (Brazil)ClayV. C. Loureiro J.2 - 0——WON
2026-09-24M15 Curitiba (Brazil)ClayP. H. Chabalgoity2 - 0——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Thiago Seyboth Wild or Mateus Alves?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is favourite at 1.15, which is a 83% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Mateus Alves?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is 1.15 and Mateus Alves is 5.67, the prices we recorded for the Santa Cruz 2 match.

What is the head-to-head between Thiago Seyboth Wild and Mateus Alves?

They have met 3 times and Thiago Seyboth Wild leads 3-0.

Who will win Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Mateus Alves?

Our model makes it Thiago Seyboth Wild to win 2-0 at 1.57 (Lean confidence).

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