ChallengerHard (Indoor)Sioux Falls2026-10-27 16:00

Sebastian Dominko v Karl Poling

The market

No published price yet

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

S. DominkoWWLLW

K. PolingWWLLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

S. Dominko

K. Poling

24-8

9-4

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

28-30

27-26

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Sebastian Dominko

Slovenia

Karl Poling

USA

1041

Slovenia

9–11

2–2

7–9

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2025 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

459

USA

25–28

22–25

3–3

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

S. Dominko — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-26	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	B. Willwerth	1.50	64%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-3 DominkoWillwerthPoints won60%40%Serve points won90%61%Return points won39%10%Games held11 of 118 of 10Break points saved0 of 014 of 16Aces102Double faults23
2026-10-25	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	J. Boulais	1.67	58%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-3 6-4 DominkoBoulaisPoints won51%49%Serve points won69%69%Return points won31%31%Games held15 of 1613 of 15Break points saved3 of 42 of 4Aces141Double faults52
2026-10-11	Olbia	Hard	D. Masur	2.18	56%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 1-6 DominkoMasurPoints won42%58%Serve points won58%73%Return points won27%42%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved1 of 43 of 4Aces116Double faults130
2026-09-30	M25 Slobozia (Romania)	Clay	S. Gima	1.26	74%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 DominkoGimaPoints won48%52%Serve points won65%74%Return points won26%35%Games held8 of 1110 of 10Break points saved7 of 95 of 5
2026-09-27	M25 Pardubice	Clay	S. Baum	1.18	78%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 DominkoBaumPoints won54%46%Serve points won70%66%Return points won34%30%Games held10 of 107 of 10Break points saved6 of 62 of 4
2026-09-26	M25 Pardubice	Clay	R. Molleker	2.08	54%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 DominkoMollekerPoints won54%46%Serve points won68%63%Return points won37%32%Games held10 of 117 of 11Break points saved1 of 22 of 5
2026-09-26	M25 Pardubice	Clay	J. Cizek	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-0 6-2 DominkoCizekPoints won63%37%Serve points won74%45%Return points won55%26%Games held7 of 72 of 7Break points saved0 of 03 of 8
2026-09-24	M25 Pardubice	Clay	M. Bekeni	1.05	87%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-1 DominkoBekeniPoints won68%32%Serve points won83%44%Return points won56%17%Games held7 of 72 of 7Break points saved1 of 12 of 7
2026-09-23	M25 Pardubice	Clay	P. Michnev	1.17	78%	WON
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-4 DominkoMichnevPoints won50%50%Serve points won70%70%Return points won30%30%Games held13 of 1413 of 15Break points saved3 of 43 of 5
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group II	- Preliminary	B. Weintraub	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 DominkoWeintraubPoints won56%44%Serve points won71%59%Return points won41%29%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved2 of 21 of 4

K. Poling — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-26	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	P. Zahraj	2.14	55%	WON
Games in each set7-6 7-6 PolingZahrajPoints won51%49%Serve points won57%56%Return points won44%43%Games held8 of 128 of 12Break points saved6 of 104 of 8Aces16Double faults47
2026-10-25	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	M. Exsted	1.63	59%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-2 PolingExstedPoints won58%42%Serve points won74%55%Return points won45%26%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved3 of 39 of 12Aces110Double faults13
2026-10-18	Fort Worth (Usa) - Qualification, Hard	—	A. Rybakov	2.46	62%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 PolingRybakovPoints won48%52%Serve points won68%70%Return points won30%32%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved1 of 32 of 2Aces04Double faults00
2026-10-15	M25 Austin, TX	Hard	I. Urribarrens Ramirez	1.30	74%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 PolingRamirezPoints won38%62%Serve points won43%65%Return points won35%57%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved2 of 64 of 4
2026-10-13	M25 Austin, TX	Hard	A. McHugh	2.24	57%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 PolingMcHughPoints won57%43%Serve points won83%65%Return points won35%17%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved0 of 02 of 4
2026-09-27	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	P. Zahraj	2.25	59%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 3-6 2-6 PolingZahrajPoints won47%53%Serve points won66%71%Return points won29%34%Games held10 of 1312 of 13Break points saved1 of 47 of 8Aces512Double faults01
2026-09-22	St. Tropez	Hard	T. Droguet	—	—	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 6-7 PolingDroguetPoints won48%52%Serve points won66%66%Return points won34%34%Games held13 of 1714 of 17Break points saved1 of 55 of 8Aces214Double faults28
2026-09-21	St. Tropez	Hard	M. Echargui	3.37	72%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 PolingEcharguiPoints won49%51%Serve points won69%71%Return points won29%31%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved7 of 94 of 5Aces64Double faults11
2026-09-20	St. Tropez	Hard	Y. Ghazouani Durand	2.45	61%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-1 PolingDurandPoints won68%32%Serve points won79%46%Return points won54%21%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved0 of 02 of 6Aces62Double faults34
2026-09-13	Rennes	Hard (Indoor)	N. Slavic	1.49	64%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 7-6 6-7 PolingSlavicPoints won49%51%Serve points won60%62%Return points won38%40%Games held13 of 1813 of 18Break points saved3 of 84 of 9Aces416Double faults52

Also at this event

Draxl v Berkieta Legout v Royer Ostapenkov v Maloney Trotter v Kasnikowski