Santiago Rodriguez Taverna v Gonzalo Bueno
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanG. Bueno is 5-5 over the last ten and 30-21 on clay this season. S. Rodriguez Taverna is 7-3 over the last ten and 19-17 on clay this season. S. Rodriguez Taverna took a medical timeout on 2026-10-20.
The pick is G. Bueno to win 2-0. We make it a 45% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.23 or bigger. At 1.97 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| S. Rodriguez Taverna | G. Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| 472 | Ranking | 172 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WWWLW | Last 5 | WLWLW |
| +0.0 | V the odds | -0.0 |
| 23-22 | Season | 33-27 |
| 19-17 | Clay 2026 | 30-21 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 1d | Days rest | 2d |
| 3 | Wins here | 1 |
| MTO | Fitness | Defending semi |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
S. Rodriguez Taverna — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Cali | Clay | R. Pacheco Mendez | 3.28 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-7 7-6 TavernaMendezPoints won51%49%Serve points won70%65%Return points won35%30%Games held15 of 1815 of 18Break points saved4 of 714 of 17Aces163Double faults86 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Cali | Clay | S. L. Hernandez R. | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 TavernaR.Points won62%38%Serve points won77%50%Return points won50%23%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved0 of 14 of 8Aces52Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Cali | Clay | F. De Dios | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-1 TavernaDiosPoints won68%32%Serve points won85%43%Return points won57%15%Games held7 of 72 of 7Break points saved0 of 04 of 9Aces80Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | M. Zeitune | 2.12 | 55% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 4-6 TavernaZeitunePoints won41%59%Serve points won57%73%Return points won27%43%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved3 of 63 of 3Aces23Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-11 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | N. Ciancaglini | 1.01 | 96% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 TavernaCiancagliniPoints won62%38%Serve points won75%47%Return points won53%25%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved1 of 12 of 7Aces20Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-09-22 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | P. Boscardin Dias | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 1-6 TavernaDiasPoints won41%59%Serve points won52%69%Return points won31%48%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved2 of 65 of 5Aces13Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | F. Tenti | 1.20 | 77% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 7-5 TavernaTentiPoints won57%43%Serve points won56%43%Return points won57%44%Games held7 of 103 of 9Break points saved3 of 63 of 9Aces21Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-09-20 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | N. Bruna | 1.08 | 87% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 4-6 6-2 TavernaBrunaPoints won53%47%Serve points won65%58%Return points won42%35%Games held12 of 1410 of 14Break points saved7 of 96 of 10Aces37Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-09-14 | Szczecin | Clay | R. Strombachs | 1.53 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set0-6 2-6 TavernaStrombachsPoints won33%67%Serve points won43%85%Return points won15%57%Games held2 of 77 of 7Break points saved7 of 120 of 0Aces04Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-09-13 | Szczecin | Clay | O. J. Gutierrez | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 7-6 TavernaGutierrezPoints won55%45%Serve points won70%59%Return points won41%30%Games held8 of 106 of 10Break points saved3 of 58 of 12Aces81Double faults25 | |||||||
G. Bueno — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Cali | Clay | H. Casanova | 1.56 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set2-6 6-3 6-2 BuenoCasanovaPoints won53%47%Serve points won61%56%Return points won44%39%Games held10 of 138 of 12Break points saved2 of 511 of 15Aces20Double faults60 | |||||||
| 2026-10-13 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | M. Zeitune | 1.59 | 60% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 3-6 BuenoZeitunePoints won39%61%Serve points won49%73%Return points won27%51%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved5 of 93 of 3Aces12Double faults51 | |||||||
| 2026-09-08 | Seville | Clay | C. Sanchez Jover | 1.71 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set0-6 6-4 6-4 BuenoJoverPoints won50%50%Serve points won56%58%Return points won42%44%Games held9 of 1310 of 13Break points saved9 of 1312 of 15Aces22Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-09-02 | Como | Clay | M. Schoenhaus | 1.99 | 52% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 3-6 BuenoSchoenhausPoints won42%58%Serve points won48%62%Return points won38%52%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved1 of 63 of 4Aces02Double faults15 | |||||||
| 2026-08-31 | Como | Clay | J. Reis Da Silva | 1.60 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 7-5 BuenoSilvaPoints won54%46%Serve points won65%55%Return points won45%35%Games held9 of 106 of 10Break points saved2 of 312 of 16Aces12Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | B. Harris | 2.42 | 60% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 3-6 BuenoHarrisPoints won40%60%Serve points won46%66%Return points won34%54%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved4 of 92 of 3Aces11Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-08-20 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | V. Royer | 4.89 | 80% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 1-6 BuenoRoyerPoints won33%67%Serve points won40%76%Return points won24%60%Games held2 of 77 of 7Break points saved1 of 60 of 0Aces01Double faults41 | |||||||
| 2026-08-19 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | E. Winter | 2.41 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 BuenoWinterPoints won56%44%Serve points won67%54%Return points won46%33%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved1 of 27 of 11Aces00Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-08-18 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | B. Willwerth | 1.35 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 6-2 6-2 BuenoWillwerthPoints won52%48%Serve points won59%55%Return points won45%41%Games held10 of 128 of 13Break points saved8 of 1010 of 15Aces12Double faults86 | |||||||
| 2026-08-02 | Liberec | Clay | J. Kumstat | 2.14 | 55% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 1-6 BuenoKumstatPoints won36%64%Serve points won51%85%Return points won15%49%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved7 of 111 of 1Aces26Double faults11 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Santiago Rodriguez Taverna or Gonzalo Bueno?
Gonzalo Bueno is favourite at 1.33, which is a 69% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gonzalo Bueno?
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna is 2.90 and Gonzalo Bueno is 1.33, the prices we recorded for the Cali match.
Who will win Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gonzalo Bueno?
Our model makes it Gonzalo Bueno to win 2-0 at 1.97 (Lean confidence).