Ryan Nijboer v Marvin Moeller
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONM. Moeller is 6-4 over the last ten and 33-16 on clay this season. R. Nijboer is 7-3 over the last ten and 46-20 on clay this season. R. Nijboer has played 6 matches in seven days. M. Moeller took a medical timeout on 2026-10-07. The head to head is R. Nijboer 1-1.
The pick is M. Moeller to win. We make it a 68% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.47 or bigger. At 1.36 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| R. Nijboer | M. Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| 514 | Ranking | 259 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WWWLW | Last 5 | WLWWW |
| +1.4 | V the odds | +0.8 |
| 46-22 | Season | 49-23 |
| 46-20 | Clay 2026 | 33-16 |
| 6 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 2d | Days rest | 3d |
| 3 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head 1-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | R. NijboervM. Moeller | 0 - 2 |
| 2025-04-30 | M25 Sabadell | R. NijboervM. Moeller | 0 - 2 |
| 2025-04-18 | M15 Antalya 11 | M. MoellervR. Nijboer | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
R. Nijboer — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | Clay | M. Moeller | 0 - 2 | 3.06 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Braga | Clay | M. McDonald | 1 - 2 | 1.79 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | B. Hassan | 2 - 0 | 2.20 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Braga | Clay | N. Hipfl | 2 - 1 | 1.36 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-10-03 | M25 Zaragoza | Clay | A. Ritschard | 0 - 2 | 3.10 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-10-02 | M25 Zaragoza | Clay | N. Ifi | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | M25 Zaragoza | Clay | P. Delage | 0 - 2 | 1.39 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | M25 Zaragoza | Clay | C. Stanke | 0 - 2 | 1.01 | 96% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Forti | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | A. Juan Mano | 1 - 2 | 1.36 | 70% | LOST |
M. Moeller — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Braga | Clay | M. Dodig | 0 - 2 | 2.86 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | Clay | R. Nijboer | 0 - 2 | 1.40 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | T. Torres | 2 - 0 | 1.45 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | L. Mikrut | 1 - 2 | 3.08 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | D. Blanch | 2 - 1 | 1.80 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Arnaboldi | 2 - 0 | 1.36 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | S. Travaglia | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Szczecin | Clay | M. Cecchinato | 2 - 1 | 2.28 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Szczecin | Clay | D. Michalski | 2 - 0 | 1.74 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Tulln | Clay | M. Soto | 1 - 2 | 1.46 | 66% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Ryan Nijboer or Marvin Moeller?
Marvin Moeller is favourite at 1.40, which is a 69% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Ryan Nijboer vs Marvin Moeller?
Ryan Nijboer is 3.06 and Marvin Moeller is 1.40, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.
What is the head-to-head between Ryan Nijboer and Marvin Moeller?
They have met 3 times and Marvin Moeller leads 2-1.
Who will win Ryan Nijboer vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model makes it Marvin Moeller to win at 1.36 (Lean confidence).