Miguel Damas v Matej Dodig
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONM. Dodig is 8-2 over the last ten and 27-11 on clay this season. M. Damas is 6-4 over the last ten and 22-25 on clay this season. M. Damas retired from a match in the last month.
The pick is M. Dodig to win 2-0. We make it a 52% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.92 or bigger. At 1.74 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Damas | M. Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 171 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| WLWWL | Last 5 | WLLWW |
| +0.4 | V the odds | +0.4 |
| 26-32 | Season | 32-20 |
| 22-25 | Clay 2026 | 27-11 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 2d | Days rest | 3d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| retired | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | M. DamasvM. Dodig | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Damas — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | Clay | M. Dodig | 0 - 2 | 4.00 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Braga | Clay | J. Nikles | 0 - 2 | 1.66 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | M25 Zaragoza | Clay | A. Ritschard | 2 - 0 | 3.25 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-10-01 | M25 Zaragoza | Clay | X. Palomar | 0 - 2 | 1.05 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | M25 Zaragoza | Clay | L. Sheyngezikht | 0 - 2 | 1.11 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Tulln | Clay | M. Brunold | 0 - 1 RET | 2.44 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-04 | Porto 2 | Clay | H. Dellien | 0 - 2 | 4.45 | 79% | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | Porto 2 | Clay | D. Kuzmanov | 2 - 1 | 2.00 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Porto 2 | Clay | N. Sanchez Izquierdo | 1 - 2 | 2.69 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | Augsburg | Clay | C. Cretu | 2 - 0 | 2.72 | 65% | LOST |
M. Dodig — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Braga | Clay | M. Moeller | 0 - 2 | 1.46 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | Clay | M. Damas | 0 - 2 | 1.26 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | A. Pellegrino | 2 - 1 | 1.73 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 | 16.08 | 94% | LOST |
| 2026-09-12 | Genova | Clay | T. Seyboth Wild | 2 - 1 | 2.10 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Genova | Clay | E. Dalla Valle | 2 - 1 | 1.52 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Genova | Clay | H. Dellien | 0 - 0 RET | 2.23 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | F. Agamenone | 0 - 1 RET | 1.34 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | Como | Clay | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 0 | 1.50 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | Como | Clay | J. Nikles | 0 - 2 | 1.20 | 81% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Miguel Damas or Matej Dodig?
Matej Dodig is favourite at 1.26, which is a 76% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Miguel Damas vs Matej Dodig?
Miguel Damas is 4.00 and Matej Dodig is 1.26, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.
What is the head-to-head between Miguel Damas and Matej Dodig?
They have met 1 time and Matej Dodig leads 1-0.
Who will win Miguel Damas vs Matej Dodig?
Our model makes it Matej Dodig to win 2-0 at 1.74 (Lean confidence).