ATPHard (Indoor)Basel2026-10-24 16:00

Remy Bertola v Jakub Paul

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid

J. Paul to win3.16

Worth backing at 2.70 or bigger · our chance 37% · market 70/30, us 63/37

J. Paul is 5-5 over the last ten and 3-4 on hard this season. R. Bertola is 4-6 over the last ten and 13-17 on hard this season. The head to head is R. Bertola 0-1.

The pick is J. Paul to win. We make it a 37% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.70 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

R. Bertola		J. Paul
227	Ranking	-
4-6	Last 10	5-5
LLWLL	Last 5	LWWLW
-1.0	V the odds	+0.6
31-31	Season	8-9
13-17	Hard 2026	3-4
3	Last 7 days	0
5d	Days rest	11d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head 0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

R. BertolaFAV1.3870%

J. Paul3.1630%

Market says70% Bertola

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

R. BertolaLLWLL

J. PaulLWWLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

R. Bertola0

J. Paul1

Head to head1 meeting

Date	Event	Match	Score
2024-03-12	Hamburg Challenger Men	R. BertolavJ. Paul	4-6 3-6

This season & this event

R. Bertola

J. Paul

31-31

13-17

Lost R32 to J. Munar

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

8-9

3-4

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Remy Bertola

Switzerland

Jakub Paul

Switzerland

227

Switzerland

30–28

12–15

10–10

7–3

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

342

Switzerland

35–21

23–14

12–7

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

R. Bertola — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-19	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	D. Goffin	1.55	63%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 3-6 4-6 BertolaGoffinPoints won50%50%Serve points won64%61%Return points won39%36%Games held11 of 1412 of 14Break points saved3 of 69 of 11Aces85Double faults44
2026-10-18	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	F. Cina	2.37	59%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 6-7 6-7 BertolaCinaPoints won50%50%Serve points won66%68%Return points won32%34%Games held16 of 1714 of 16Break points saved8 of 93 of 5Aces135Double faults41
2026-10-17	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	G. Mpetshi Perricard	2.29	58%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-7 7-5 BertolaPerricardPoints won51%49%Serve points won78%75%Return points won25%22%Games held18 of 1817 of 18Break points saved0 of 04 of 5Aces1130Double faults53
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	O. Virtanen	3.37	71%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 5-7 BertolaVirtanenPoints won45%55%Serve points won61%71%Return points won29%39%Games held9 of 1211 of 12Break points saved6 of 94 of 5Aces317Double faults34
2026-09-30	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	L. Poullain	1.66	58%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 5-7 3-6 BertolaPoullainPoints won50%50%Serve points won67%64%Return points won36%33%Games held12 of 1513 of 15Break points saved4 of 73 of 5Aces64Double faults20
2026-09-29	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	A. Reco	1.22	76%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 BertolaRecoPoints won55%45%Serve points won72%57%Return points won43%28%Games held9 of 97 of 10Break points saved1 of 14 of 7Aces36Double faults22
2026-09-21	St. Tropez	Hard	J. De Jong	3.38	71%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-7 BertolaJongPoints won47%53%Serve points won64%75%Return points won25%36%Games held11 of 1211 of 12Break points saved5 of 64 of 5Aces86Double faults61
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	M. Pucinelli de Almeida	—	—	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-4 10-8 BertolaAlmeidaPoints won50%50%Serve points won55%55%Return points won45%45%Games held5 of 96 of 10Break points saved6 of 107 of 11Aces11Double faults10
2026-09-03	Mallorca	Hard	E. Butvilas	2.57	62%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 7-6 3-6 BertolaButvilasPoints won46%54%Serve points won60%64%Return points won36%40%Games held9 of 1413 of 16Break points saved1 of 62 of 5Aces23Double faults46
2026-09-01	Mallorca	Hard	J. Kym	3.27	70%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-3 7-6 BertolaKymPoints won52%48%Serve points won63%60%Return points won40%37%Games held12 of 1611 of 15Break points saved5 of 91 of 5Aces46Double faults47

J. Paul — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-13	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	N. Budkov Kjaer	4.64	79%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 5-7 PaulKjaerPoints won48%52%Serve points won59%64%Return points won36%41%Games held7 of 119 of 11Break points saved4 of 86 of 8Aces28Double faults03
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	L. Massard	1.62	59%	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-5 PaulMassardPoints won53%47%Serve points won70%67%Return points won33%30%Games held11 of 129 of 12Break points saved4 of 53 of 6Aces41Double faults23
2026-10-11	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	N. McDonald	1.90	50%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-7 7-5 PaulMcDonaldPoints won52%48%Serve points won63%62%Return points won38%37%Games held15 of 1712 of 16Break points saved7 of 95 of 9Aces03Double faults15
2026-08-17	Prague	Clay	R. Molleker	1.94	53%	LOST
Games in each set0-6 1-6 PaulMollekerPoints won35%65%Serve points won35%65%Return points won35%65%Games held0 of 75 of 6Break points saved3 of 103 of 4Aces12Double faults01
2026-08-16	Prague	Clay	S. Gulin	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 3-6 6-2 PaulGulinPoints won52%48%Serve points won60%56%Return points won44%40%Games held7 of 105 of 10Break points saved7 of 105 of 10Aces15Double faults02
2026-06-15	Parma	Clay	E. Dalla Valle	2.53	62%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 5-7 PaulVallePoints won45%55%Serve points won58%68%Return points won32%42%Games held7 of 1010 of 11Break points saved10 of 134 of 5Aces06Double faults00
2026-06-14	Parma	Clay	M. Mecarelli	1.22	79%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-2 PaulMecarelliPoints won61%39%Serve points won71%49%Return points won51%29%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved1 of 14 of 8Aces20Double faults12
2026-05-12	Valencia	Clay	N. Budkov Kjaer	5.31	82%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 1-6 4-6 PaulKjaerPoints won45%55%Serve points won47%57%Return points won43%53%Games held7 of 1510 of 14Break points saved1 of 94 of 8Aces12Double faults19
2026-05-11	Valencia	Clay	S. Napolitano	3.26	71%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 PaulNapolitanoPoints won57%43%Serve points won73%60%Return points won40%27%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 02 of 3Aces42Double faults01
2026-03-29	Marrakech	Clay	D. Lajovic	—	—	LOST
Games in each set1-6 4-6 PaulLajovicPoints won39%61%Serve points won52%72%Return points won28%48%Games held5 of 89 of 9Aces19Double faults10

Common questions

Who is favourite, Remy Bertola or Jakub Paul?

Remy Bertola is favourite at 1.38, which is a 70% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Remy Bertola vs Jakub Paul?

Remy Bertola is 1.38 and Jakub Paul is 3.16, the prices we recorded for the Basel match.

What is the head-to-head between Remy Bertola and Jakub Paul?

They have met 1 time and Jakub Paul leads 1-0.

Who will win Remy Bertola vs Jakub Paul?

Our model makes it Jakub Paul to win at 3.16 (Solid confidence).

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