THE TENNIS TRADER
SATURDAY 26 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 98EVENTS 40LIVE 2ALERTS 61
ATPHard (Indoor)ATP Laver Cup2026-09-25 20:00

Rafael Jodar v Alexander Bublik

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
R. Jodar to win1.56
Worth backing at 1.51 or bigger · our chance 67% · market 62/38, us 67/33

R. Jodar is 7-3 over the last ten and 32-12 on hard this season. A. Bublik is 7-3 over the last ten and 12-7 on hard this season.

The pick is R. Jodar to win. We make it a 67% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.51 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

R. JodarA. Bublik
165Ranking11
7-3Last 107-3
WLLWWLast 5WWLWW
+0.2V the odds+0.8
50-16Season29-19
32-12Hard 202612-7
1Last 7 days0
6dDays rest23d
0Wins here0
ClearFitness23d out
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

R. JodarFAV1.5662%
A. Bublik2.5138%
Market says62% Jodar

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

R. Jodar1
A. Bublik0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-25ATP Laver CupR. JodarvA. Bublik2 - 0

This season & this event

R. Jodar
A. Bublik
51-16
33-12
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
29-20
12-8
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Rafael Jodar
Spain
Alexander Bublik
Kazakhstan
165
20
Spain
6–1
0
6–1
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
11
29
Kazakhstan
4–0
1
4–0
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

R. Jodar — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-25ATP Laver CupHard (Indoor)A. Bublik2 - 01.5662%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsC. Garin0 - 21.2577%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardY. Bu0 - 31.0790%LOST
2026-08-19CincinnatiHardF. Cobolli1 - 21.3373%LOST
2026-08-17CincinnatiHardA. Tabilo2 - 01.4067%WON
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardD. Shapovalov2 - 11.4368%WON
2026-08-13MontrealHardB. Nakashima0 - 21.4368%LOST
2026-08-11MontrealHardA. Fils2 - 01.7257%WON
2026-08-09MontrealHardJ. Lehecka0 - 21.7456%WON
2026-08-07MontrealHardL. Musetti2 - 01.7855%WON

A. Bublik — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-25ATP Laver CupHard (Indoor)R. Jodar2 - 02.5162%LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardA. Mannarino3 - 01.2876%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardJ.J. Wolf3 - 11.4567%WON
2026-07-25KitzbuhelclayQ. Halys0 - 21.4567%LOST
2026-07-24KitzbuhelclayT. M. Etcheverry2 - 01.6061%WON
2026-07-23KitzbuhelclayA. Molcan2 - 01.6758%WON
2026-07-22KitzbuhelclayF. Diaz Acosta2 - 01.4567%WON
2026-07-17GstaadClayQ. Halys1 - 21.4467%LOST
2026-07-06WimbledonGrassT. Fritz3 - 02.9367%LOST
2026-07-04WimbledonGrassF. Tiafoe2 - 32.0252%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Rafael Jodar or Alexander Bublik?

Rafael Jodar is favourite at 1.56, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Bublik?

Rafael Jodar is 1.56 and Alexander Bublik is 2.51, the prices we recorded for the ATP Laver Cup match.

What is the head-to-head between Rafael Jodar and Alexander Bublik?

They have met 1 time and Rafael Jodar leads 1-0.

Who will win Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Bublik?

Our model makes it Rafael Jodar to win at 1.56 (Solid confidence).

What is the match format at the Laver Cup?

Two sets, then a 10-point match tie-break instead of a third. Team Europe against Team World over three days. Wins are worth 1 point on day one, 2 on day two and 3 on day three; first team to 13 points takes the cup. Watch the team score before you bet a late match - a decided tie changes what the players are playing for.

Also at this event