Jakub Mensik v Brandon Nakashima
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidWONB. Nakashima is 7-3 over the last ten and 29-14 on hard this season. J. Mensik is 6-4 over the last ten and 24-12 on hard this season. The head to head is J. Mensik 2-1.
The pick is B. Nakashima to win. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.90 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Mensik | B. Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Ranking | 33 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WLLWL | Last 5 | LWLWW |
| -0.3 | V the odds | +1.4 |
| 33-18 | Season | 35-19 |
| 24-12 | Hard 2026 | 29-14 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 6d | Days rest | 23d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 23d out |
| Head to head 2-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | ATP Laver Cup | J. MensikvB. Nakashima | 1 - 2 |
| 2026-07-30 | Washington | B. NakashimavJ. Mensik | 2 - 1 |
| 2024-01-10 | ATP Australian Open | J. MensikvB. Nakashima | 2 - 0 |
| 2024-01-05 | Canberra Challenger Men | J. MensikvB. Nakashima | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Mensik — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | B. Nakashima | 1 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | B. Shelton | 2 - 1 | 2.24 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | L. Tien | 0 - 2 | 1.62 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | L. Tien | 2 - 3 | 2.26 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 3 - 0 | 1.11 | 87% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 1 | 1.52 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | 1.27 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | M. Bellucci | 1 - 2 | 1.29 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-08-12 | Montreal | Hard | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | 2.28 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-10 | Montreal | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | 1.38 | 71% | WON |
B. Nakashima — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | J. Mensik | 1 - 2 | 2.25 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | A. Michelsen | 0 - 3 | 1.45 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | S. Baez | 3 - 0 | 1.14 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-08-23 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 0 - 2 | 1.88 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-21 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. Fritz | 1 - 2 | 2.62 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati | Hard | N. Borges | 1 - 2 | 1.60 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | D. Medvedev | 2 - 1 | 2.25 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | 1.26 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-08-14 | Montreal | Hard | B. Shelton | 2 - 0 | 2.93 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-08-13 | Montreal | Hard | R. Jodar | 0 - 2 | 3.05 | 68% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Jakub Mensik or Brandon Nakashima?
Jakub Mensik is favourite at 1.68, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Jakub Mensik vs Brandon Nakashima?
Jakub Mensik is 1.68 and Brandon Nakashima is 2.25, the prices we recorded for the ATP Laver Cup match.
What is the head-to-head between Jakub Mensik and Brandon Nakashima?
They have met 4 times and they are level at 2-2.
Who will win Jakub Mensik vs Brandon Nakashima?
Our model makes it Brandon Nakashima to win at 2.10 (Solid confidence).
What is the match format at the Laver Cup?
Two sets, then a 10-point match tie-break instead of a third. Team Europe against Team World over three days. Wins are worth 1 point on day one, 2 on day two and 3 on day three; first team to 13 points takes the cup. Watch the team score before you bet a late match - a decided tie changes what the players are playing for.