ITFClayM25 Guadalajara · 1/8-finals2026-11-04 17:00

Rafael De Alba v Matteo Covato

The market

R. De Alba2.5338%

M. CovatoFAV1.5362%

Market says62% Covato

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

R. De AlbaWLWWW

M. CovatoWLWWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

R. De Alba1

M. Covato0

Head to head1 meeting

Date	Event	Match	Score
2026-02-03	M15 Huamantla 2	R. De AlbavM. Covato	6-4 6-2

This season & this event

R. De Alba

M. Covato

14-23

2-4

Lost R16 to S. Goity Zapico

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on clay

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

14-32

8-17

Lost QF to K. Mayo

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Rafael De Alba

Mexico

Matteo Covato

Italy

1037

Mexico

11–20

7–12

4–7

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2025 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

742

Italy

6–27

2–10

4–16

0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

R. De Alba — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-03	M25 Guadalajara	Clay	N. E. Rico Arias		—	—	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-0 AlbaAriasPoints won59%41%Serve points won59%41%Return points won59%41%Games held7 of 93 of 9Break points saved5 of 70 of 6
2026-10-31	M15 Mazatlan (Mexico)	Hard	R. Alujas		3.39	72%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 2-6 AlbaAlujasPoints won45%55%Serve points won44%53%Return points won47%56%Games held6 of 159 of 15Break points saved2 of 102 of 8
2026-10-30	M15 Mazatlan (Mexico)	Hard	L. Liu	RET	—	—	WON
Games in each set3-6 5-5 AlbaLiuPoints won47%53%Serve points won53%59%Return points won41%47%Games held5 of 97 of 10Break points saved6 of 106 of 9
2026-10-28	M15 Mazatlan (Mexico)	Hard	O. A. Reyes Tiraldo		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-6
2026-10-27	M15 Mazatlan (Mexico)	Hard	J. Peck		2.75	65%	WON
Games in each set6-3 3-6 6-2
2026-10-06	M25 Kigali 2	Clay	D. Javia		6.18	85%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 4-6 AlbaJaviaPoints won42%58%Serve points won56%71%Return points won29%44%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved4 of 61 of 1
2026-09-30	M25 Kigali	Clay	B. Lock		4.08	77%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 AlbaLockPoints won41%59%Serve points won55%78%Return points won22%45%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved4 of 73 of 3
2026-09-08	M25 Sintra	Hard	J. D. Silva		—	—	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 AlbaSilvaPoints won41%59%Serve points won40%59%Return points won41%60%Games held2 of 86 of 8Break points saved6 of 126 of 8
2026-09-03	M15 Madrid	Clay (Indoor)	M. Van Der Meerschen		6.26	86%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 AlbaMeerschenPoints won43%57%Serve points won48%61%Return points won39%52%Games held5 of 107 of 10Break points saved2 of 72 of 5
2026-09-01	M15 Madrid	Clay (Indoor)	S. De Felipe Garcia		3.15	70%	WON
Games in each set3-6 7-6 6-2 AlbaGarciaPoints won52%48%Serve points won66%60%Return points won40%34%Games held12 of 1412 of 15Break points saved6 of 89 of 12

M. Covato — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-03	M25 Guadalajara	Clay	B. Perez		1.44	66%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 CovatoPerezPoints won56%44%Serve points won75%65%Return points won35%25%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved5 of 50 of 2
2026-10-30	M15 Mazatlan (Mexico)	Hard	F. Rengifo		—	—	LOST
Games in each set1-6 3-6
2026-10-28	M15 Mazatlan (Mexico)	Hard	G. Delgado		1.07	90%	WON
Games in each set6-4 1-6 6-3 CovatoDelgadoPoints won50%50%Serve points won60%67%Return points won33%40%Games held2 of 32 of 3
2026-10-27	M15 Mazatlan (Mexico)	Hard	M. Benson	RET	1.61	59%	WON
Games in each set6-7 7-6 0-1 CovatoBensonPoints won47%53%Serve points won73%75%Return points won25%27%Games held11 of 1212 of 13Break points saved1 of 22 of 2
2026-10-18	Cali	Clay	A. Hernandez		4.19	77%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 4-6 CovatoHernandezPoints won48%52%Serve points won62%66%Return points won34%38%Games held8 of 1110 of 11Break points saved3 of 61 of 2Aces121Double faults63
2026-10-15	M15 Quito 4	Clay	I. Dreycopp		2.41	60%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 7-6 6-7 CovatoDreycoppPoints won47%53%Serve points won70%76%Return points won24%30%Games held17 of 1817 of 18Break points saved2 of 32 of 3
2026-10-14	M15 Quito 4	Clay	E. Camacho		2.33	59%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 CovatoCamachoPoints won55%45%Serve points won66%58%Return points won42%34%Games held8 of 96 of 10Break points saved3 of 41 of 5
2026-10-10	M15 Quito 3	Clay	L. Andrade da Silva		6.53	86%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6 CovatoSilvaPoints won40%60%Serve points won57%80%Return points won20%43%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved7 of 101 of 1
2026-10-09	M15 Quito 3	Clay	F. De Dios		1.72	55%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-4 CovatoDiosPoints won60%40%Serve points won80%57%Return points won43%20%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved1 of 15 of 8
2026-10-08	M15 Quito 3	Clay	M. Mbithi		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 CovatoMbithiPoints won55%45%Serve points won73%63%Return points won37%27%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved2 of 33 of 5

Common questions

Who is favourite, Rafael De Alba or Matteo Covato?

Matteo Covato is favourite at 1.53, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Rafael De Alba vs Matteo Covato?

Rafael De Alba is 2.53 and Matteo Covato is 1.53, the prices we recorded for the M25 Guadalajara match.

What is the head-to-head between Rafael De Alba and Matteo Covato?

They have met 1 time and Rafael De Alba leads 1-0.

Also at this event

Betancourt v Jarvis Plasencia v Mendez Flores v Cooper Fierros v Strode Rengifo v Baker C v Claverie