THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 18 OCTOBERMATCHES 130EVENTS 45LIVE 12ALERTS 42
ChallengerClayLisbon2026-10-19 11:00

Prata Vasco Leote v Joao Domingues

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
J. Domingues to win1.09
Price too short today - wait for 1.17 or bigger · our chance 86% · market 16/84, us 14/86

J. Domingues is 3-7 over the last ten and 6-8 on clay this season. V. Leote Prata is 4-6 over the last ten and 1-3 on clay this season.

The pick is J. Domingues to win. We make it a 86% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.17 or bigger. At 1.09 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

V. Leote PrataJ. Domingues
-Ranking781
4-6Last 103-7
WLLLWLast 5WLLLW
-0.5V the odds-1.4
4-10Season28-23
1-3Clay 20266-8
1Last 7 days1
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

V. Leote Prata5.7516%
J. DominguesFAV1.0984%
Market says84% Domingues

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

V. Leote Prata
J. Domingues
4-10
1-3
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
28-23
6-8
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Vasco Leote Prata
Portugal
Joao Domingues
Portugal
1255
23
Portugal
4–5
0
4–5
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
781
33
Portugal
15–11
0
11–9
4–2
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

V. Leote Prata — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-18LisbonClayP. Matuszewski1 - 2——WON
2026-10-11MaiaClay (Indoor)A. Sanchez Quilez2 - 17.6788%LOST
2026-10-06M15 PontevedraHardZ. Sesko0 - 23.1170%LOST
2026-09-23M25 SetubalHardT. Stice1 - 21.5860%LOST
2026-09-16M25 Sintra 2HardR. Colby0 - 22.7666%WON
2026-09-09M25 Rabat 2 (Morocco)ClayP. Delage0 - 24.7080%LOST
2026-09-03M25 Casablanca (Morocco)ClayP. Delage0 - 24.3379%LOST
2026-09-02 M25 Casablanca (Morocco), Clay—L. Petit0 - 0 RET1.8552%WON
2026-08-20M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2HardT. McCormick2 - 02.6564%LOST
2026-08-19M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2HardJ. Fradkin1 - 0 RET1.1881%WON

J. Domingues — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-18LisbonClayI. Gakhov1 - 0 RET2.5162%WON
2026-10-11MaiaClay (Indoor)A. Martin0 - 22.0453%LOST
2026-10-05BragaClayV. Gaubas2 - 06.0084%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayM. Geerts2 - 12.5062%LOST
2026-09-27PortoClayV. Ursu2 - 02.2359%WON
2026-09-24M25 SetubalHardR. Bertrand2 - 02.9768%LOST
2026-09-22M25 SetubalHardR. Izquierdo Luque2 - 1——WON
2026-09-16M25 Sintra 2HardJ. Penzlin2 - 11.3668%LOST
2026-07-18EstorilClayT. Skatov1 - 24.2777%LOST
2026-07-01M25 Figueira da FozHardF. Andaloro0 - 22.3159%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Prata Vasco Leote or Joao Domingues?

Joao Domingues is favourite at 1.09, which is a 84% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Prata Vasco Leote vs Joao Domingues?

Prata Vasco Leote is 5.75 and Joao Domingues is 1.09, the prices we recorded for the Lisbon match.

Who will win Prata Vasco Leote vs Joao Domingues?

Our model makes it Joao Domingues to win at 1.09 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event