THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 29 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 234EVENTS 32LIVE 6ALERTS 89
ChallengerClayCuritiba · Qualifiers2026-09-28 16:30

Pedro Sakamoto v Santiago De La Fuente

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
S. De La Fuente to win2.81
Worth backing at 2.54 or bigger · our chance 40% · market 67/33, us 60/40

S. De La Fuente is 6-4 over the last ten and 22-19 on clay this season. P. Sakamoto is 7-3 over the last ten and 14-18 on clay this season. P. Sakamoto has played 6 matches in seven days.

The pick is S. De La Fuente to win. We make it a 40% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.54 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

P. SakamotoS. De La Fuente
426Ranking620
7-3Last 106-4
WLWWWLast 5WLLWW
+0.5V the odds+0.3
21-23Season22-19
14-18Clay 202622-19
6Last 7 days1
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
Defending finalFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

P. SakamotoFAV1.4068%
S. De La Fuente2.9232%
Market says68% Sakamoto

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

P. Sakamoto1
S. De La Fuente0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-28CuritibaP. SakamotovS. De La Fuente2 - 1

This season & this event

P. Sakamoto
Defending final
S. De La Fuente
22-23
15-18
Lost Final to G. Heide
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
22-20
22-20
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Pedro Sakamoto
Brazil
Santiago De La Fuente
Argentina
426
33
Brazil
7–11
0
0–1
7–10
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
620
24
Argentina
12–11
0
—
12–11
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

P. Sakamoto — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-28CuritibaClayS. De La Fuente2 - 11.4068%WON
2026-09-27CuritibaClayV. Goncalves2 - 01.2077%WON
2026-09-27M15 Curitiba (Brazil)—M. Alves2 - 02.9569%LOST
2026-09-26M15 Curitiba (Brazil)—N. Zanellato0 - 21.5061%WON
2026-09-25M15 Curitiba (Brazil)—J. S. Osorio0 - 2——WON
2026-09-24M15 Curitiba (Brazil)—V. Goncalves0 - 21.4068%WON
2026-09-22 M15 Curitiba (Brazil), Clay—K. L. Santos Gava0 - 2——WON
2026-09-18M15 BelemHardJ. S. Osorio2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-17M15 BelemHardV. Cunha1 - 21.0495%WON
2026-09-16M15 BelemHardT. Menzel0 - 21.0389%WON

S. De La Fuente — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-28CuritibaClayP. Sakamoto2 - 12.9268%LOST
2026-09-27CuritibaClayB. Arias0 - 21.1877%WON
2026-09-20Buenos Aires 3ClayM. F. Descotte2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-28M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayG. Villanueva2 - 04.7880%LOST
2026-08-27M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayT. J. Leston0 - 2——WON
2026-08-25M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayT. Grandinetti0 - 21.0394%WON
2026-08-20M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay)ClayM. Exsted2 - 02.1856%LOST
2026-08-19M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay)ClayM. Del Pino0 - 21.2576%WON
2026-08-18M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay)ClayC. Craig0 - 21.3770%WON
2026-08-14M15 AsuncionClayG. Villanueva2 - 05.0082%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Pedro Sakamoto or Santiago De La Fuente?

Pedro Sakamoto is favourite at 1.40, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Pedro Sakamoto vs Santiago De La Fuente?

Pedro Sakamoto is 1.40 and Santiago De La Fuente is 2.92, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.

What is the head-to-head between Pedro Sakamoto and Santiago De La Fuente?

They have met 1 time and Pedro Sakamoto leads 1-0.

Who will win Pedro Sakamoto vs Santiago De La Fuente?

Our model makes it Santiago De La Fuente to win at 2.81 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event