Pedro Sakamoto v Santiago De La Fuente
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTS. De La Fuente is 6-4 over the last ten and 22-19 on clay this season. P. Sakamoto is 7-3 over the last ten and 14-18 on clay this season. P. Sakamoto has played 6 matches in seven days.
The pick is S. De La Fuente to win. We make it a 40% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.54 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| P. Sakamoto | S. De La Fuente | |
|---|---|---|
| 426 | Ranking | 620 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLWWW | Last 5 | WLLWW |
| +0.5 | V the odds | +0.3 |
| 21-23 | Season | 22-19 |
| 14-18 | Clay 2026 | 22-19 |
| 6 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Defending final | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | P. SakamotovS. De La Fuente | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
P. Sakamoto — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | S. De La Fuente | 2 - 1 | 1.40 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Curitiba | Clay | V. Goncalves | 2 - 0 | 1.20 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | — | M. Alves | 2 - 0 | 2.95 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-26 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | — | N. Zanellato | 0 - 2 | 1.50 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | — | J. S. Osorio | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil) | — | V. Goncalves | 0 - 2 | 1.40 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | M15 Curitiba (Brazil), Clay | — | K. L. Santos Gava | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | M15 Belem | Hard | J. S. Osorio | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-17 | M15 Belem | Hard | V. Cunha | 1 - 2 | 1.04 | 95% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | M15 Belem | Hard | T. Menzel | 0 - 2 | 1.03 | 89% | WON |
S. De La Fuente — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | P. Sakamoto | 2 - 1 | 2.92 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Curitiba | Clay | B. Arias | 0 - 2 | 1.18 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | M. F. Descotte | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-28 | M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina) | Clay | G. Villanueva | 2 - 0 | 4.78 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina) | Clay | T. J. Leston | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina) | Clay | T. Grandinetti | 0 - 2 | 1.03 | 94% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay) | Clay | M. Exsted | 2 - 0 | 2.18 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay) | Clay | M. Del Pino | 0 - 2 | 1.25 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay) | Clay | C. Craig | 0 - 2 | 1.37 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-08-14 | M15 Asuncion | Clay | G. Villanueva | 2 - 0 | 5.00 | 82% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Pedro Sakamoto or Santiago De La Fuente?
Pedro Sakamoto is favourite at 1.40, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Pedro Sakamoto vs Santiago De La Fuente?
Pedro Sakamoto is 1.40 and Santiago De La Fuente is 2.92, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.
What is the head-to-head between Pedro Sakamoto and Santiago De La Fuente?
They have met 1 time and Pedro Sakamoto leads 1-0.
Who will win Pedro Sakamoto vs Santiago De La Fuente?
Our model makes it Santiago De La Fuente to win at 2.81 (Solid confidence).