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ChallengerClayCuritiba · 1/16-finals2026-09-28 19:00

Guido Ivan Justo v Franco Roncadelli

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid
F. Roncadelli to win2.02
Worth backing at 1.87 or bigger · our chance 54% · market 53/47, us 46/54

F. Roncadelli is 5-5 over the last ten and 26-17 on clay this season. G. I. Justo is 4-6 over the last ten and 38-22 on clay this season. The head to head is G. I. Justo 0-1.

The pick is F. Roncadelli to win. We make it a 54% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.87 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

G. I. JustoF. Roncadelli
263Ranking274
4-6Last 105-5
LWLLWLast 5LWWLL
-0.4V the odds-0.2
42-25Season32-20
38-22Clay 202626-17
2Last 7 days2
5dDays rest5d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

G. I. JustoFAV1.7353%
F. Roncadelli1.9747%
Market says53% Justo

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

G. I. Justo0
F. Roncadelli1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-05-15Cordoba 2G. I. JustovF. Roncadelli0 - 2

This season & this event

G. I. Justo
F. Roncadelli
42-25
38-22
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
32-20
26-17
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Guido Ivan Justo
Argentina
Franco Roncadelli
Uruguay
263
28
Argentina
23–12
1
—
23–12
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
274
26
Uruguay
16–9
0
—
14–9
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

G. I. Justo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Mena2 - 02.6365%LOST
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayG. Villanueva1 - 21.8352%WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardH. Gaston2 - 06.1885%LOST
2026-07-30LiberecClayJ. B. Torres0 - 21.6259%LOST
2026-07-28LiberecClayS. Gueymard Wayenburg2 - 01.7256%WON
2026-07-23TampereClayD. Dedura2 - 02.5963%LOST
2026-07-21TampereClayG. A. Olivieri0 - 21.6558%WON
2026-07-15CordenonsClayF. Bondioli2 - 01.6060%LOST
2026-07-13CordenonsClayM. H. Rehberg0 - 22.5062%WON
2026-07-08TriesteClayL. Neumayer2 - 13.5773%LOST

F. Roncadelli — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23Buenos Aires 3ClayP. Boscardin Dias1 - 21.8851%LOST
2026-09-22Buenos Aires 3ClayB. Fernandez0 - 2——WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryK. Tamm2 - 01.2575%WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardE. Ymer0 - 25.0381%LOST
2026-07-30LiberecClayN. Gombos0 - 21.8851%LOST
2026-07-28LiberecClayJ. Nicod2 - 02.2056%WON
2026-07-23TampereClayH. Squire2 - 02.8166%LOST
2026-07-21TampereClayO. Paldanius0 - 21.2477%WON
2026-07-17CordenonsClayM. Alcala Gurri2 - 03.2570%LOST
2026-07-16CordenonsClayM. Mrva1 - 22.3259%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Guido Ivan Justo or Franco Roncadelli?

Guido Ivan Justo is favourite at 1.73, which is a 53% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Guido Ivan Justo vs Franco Roncadelli?

Guido Ivan Justo is 1.73 and Franco Roncadelli is 1.97, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.

What is the head-to-head between Guido Ivan Justo and Franco Roncadelli?

They have met 1 time and Franco Roncadelli leads 1-0.

Who will win Guido Ivan Justo vs Franco Roncadelli?

Our model makes it Franco Roncadelli to win at 2.02 (Solid confidence).

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