Otto Virtanen v Tiago Pereira
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanT. Pereira is 5-5 over the last ten and 18-15 on clay this season. O. Virtanen is 5-5 over the last ten and 10-9 on clay this season.
The pick is T. Pereira to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.67 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| O. Virtanen | T. Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| 127 | Ranking | 338 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWLWW | Last 5 | LLWWL |
| -1.2 | V the odds | -0.2 |
| 32-22 | Season | 38-32 |
| 10-9 | Clay 2026 | 18-15 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 9d | Days rest | 8d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
O. Virtanen — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | V. Vacherot | 1 - 2 | 2.37 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | L. Catarina | 2 - 0 | 1.01 | 94% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | A. Rublev | 2 - 3 | 5.82 | 83% | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | J. Pinnington Jones | 2 - 1 | 1.50 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | U. Blanchet | 2 - 0 | 1.43 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Cancun 2 | Hard | M. Echargui | 0 - 2 | 1.19 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | C. Wong | 2 - 0 | 1.81 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | Cincinnati | Hard | V. Gogineni | 0 - 2 | 1.25 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-07-30 | San Marino | Clay | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | 1.65 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-07-28 | San Marino | Clay | F. Romano | 0 - 2 | 1.37 | 70% | WON |
T. Pereira — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | Pa. Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | 1.05 | 91% | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Szczecin | Clay | F. Pieczonka | 1 - 2 | 2.04 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Szczecin | Clay | R. Molleker | 2 - 1 | 2.46 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | Szczecin | Clay | I. Lopez Morillo | 2 - 1 | 1.37 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | Seville | Clay | G. A. Olivieri | 2 - 0 | 2.23 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Seville | Clay | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | 4.86 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Seville | Clay | P. Lagutin | 1 - 2 | 2.49 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | Seville | Clay | T. Cigarran | 2 - 1 | 1.24 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | Porto 2 | Clay | G. Heide | 2 - 0 | 4.48 | 79% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Porto 2 | Clay | F. Rocha | 0 - 2 | 1.29 | 74% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Otto Virtanen or Tiago Pereira?
Otto Virtanen is favourite at 1.31, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Otto Virtanen vs Tiago Pereira?
Otto Virtanen is 1.31 and Tiago Pereira is 3.35, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.
Who will win Otto Virtanen vs Tiago Pereira?
Our model makes it Tiago Pereira to win a set (Lean confidence).