THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 29 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 234EVENTS 32LIVE 6ALERTS 89
ChallengerClayPorto2026-09-28 11:00

Moez Echargui v Damir Dzumhur

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Strong
D. Dzumhur to win1.62
Worth backing at 1.53 or bigger · our chance 65% · market 42/58, us 35/65

D. Dzumhur is 6-4 over the last ten and 11-13 on clay this season. M. Echargui is 6-4 over the last ten and 2-9 on clay this season. M. Echargui took a medical timeout on 2026-09-22. The head to head is M. Echargui 0-2.

The pick is D. Dzumhur to win. We make it a 65% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.53 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. EcharguiD. Dzumhur
215Ranking87
6-4Last 106-4
LWWWWLast 5WLLWL
+0.6V the odds+1.2
17-30Season19-27
2-9Clay 202611-13
2Last 7 days0
6dDays rest9d
0Wins here0
MTOFitnessClear
Head to head
0-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Echargui2.2742%
D. DzumhurFAV1.6258%
Market says58% Dzumhur

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Echargui0
D. Dzumhur2
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2023-09-20Sibiu Challenger MenM. EcharguivD. Dzumhur0 - 2
2022-03-04ATP Davis Cup - World Group IM. EcharguivD. Dzumhur1 - 2

This season & this event

M. Echargui
D. Dzumhur
17-30
2-9
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
19-27
11-13
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Moez Echargui
Tunisia
Damir Dzumhur
Bosnia and Herzegovina
215
33
Tunisia
14–30
0
9–17
3–10
2–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
87
34
Bosnia and Herzegovina
8–15
0
2–7
6–8
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Echargui — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-22St. TropezHardD. Masur1 - 21.7554%LOST
2026-09-21St. TropezHardK. Poling2 - 01.3472%WON
2026-09-20St. TropezHardL. Potenza2 - 11.5362%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryM. Murtaza2 - 01.0194%WON
2026-09-09CassisHardB. Harris2 - 11.9852%WON
2026-09-07CassisHardL. Poullain2 - 01.7455%WON
2026-09-01MallorcaHardJ. Pinnington Jones1 - 22.6764%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardH. Dellien0 - 21.4566%LOST
2026-08-23Cancun 2HardH. Hurkacz2 - 07.1086%LOST
2026-08-22Cancun 2HardM. Kouame2 - 12.8666%WON

D. Dzumhur — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryK. Montsi0 - 21.4066%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardH. Hurkacz1 - 38.5189%LOST
2026-08-06Grodzisk MazowieckiHardM. Erhard0 - 21.2278%LOST
2026-08-04Grodzisk MazowieckiHardG. Blancaneaux2 - 01.3272%WON
2026-07-21EstorilClayH. Gaston0 - 0 RET1.9851%LOST
2026-07-18UmagclayD. Merida Aguilar2 - 12.9767%LOST
2026-07-17UmagclayA. Molcan2 - 13.1069%WON
2026-07-16UmagclayM. Arnaldi2 - 12.8966%WON
2026-07-15UmagclayJ. C. Prado Angelo0 - 21.5264%WON
2026-07-13UmagclayH. Rocha2 - 02.2858%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Moez Echargui or Damir Dzumhur?

Damir Dzumhur is favourite at 1.62, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Moez Echargui vs Damir Dzumhur?

Moez Echargui is 2.27 and Damir Dzumhur is 1.62, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.

What is the head-to-head between Moez Echargui and Damir Dzumhur?

They have met 2 times and Damir Dzumhur leads 2-0.

Who will win Moez Echargui vs Damir Dzumhur?

Our model makes it Damir Dzumhur to win at 1.62 (Strong confidence).

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