THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 12 OCTOBERMATCHES 194EVENTS 13LIVE 4ALERTS 63
ChallengerClaySanta Cruz 22026-10-11 16:00

N. Donoso v Bruno Fernandez

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
B. Fernandez to win1.01
Price too short today - wait for 1.09 or bigger · our chance 92% · market 6/94, us 8/92

B. Fernandez is 4-6 over the last ten and 21-24 on clay this season. N. Donoso is 0-0 over the last ten.

The pick is B. Fernandez to win. We make it a 92% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.09 or bigger. At 1.01 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

N. DonosoB. Fernandez
-Ranking626
0-0Last 104-6
-Last 5LLWLW
-V the odds-1.3
0-0Season23-27
0-0Clay 202621-24
0Last 7 days1
-Days rest7d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

N. Donoso15.006%
B. FernandezFAV1.0194%
Market says94% Fernandez

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

N. Donoso0
B. Fernandez1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-11Santa Cruz 2N. DonosovB. Fernandez0 - 2

This season & this event

N. Donoso
B. Fernandez
0-1
0-1
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
24-28
22-25
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

N. Donoso
Bruno Fernandez
Brazil
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—
—
—
—
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Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
626
22
Brazil
14–9
0
—
14–9
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

N. Donoso — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11Santa Cruz 2ClayB. Fernandez0 - 215.0094%LOST

B. Fernandez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12Santa Cruz 2ClayM. Alves2 - 12.8967%LOST
2026-10-11Santa Cruz 2ClayN. Donoso0 - 21.0194%WON
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayB. Munk Mesa2 - 01.5860%LOST
2026-09-30CuritibaClayL. Midon0 - 25.9084%LOST
2026-09-29CuritibaClayW. Leite2 - 1——WON
2026-09-28CuritibaClayV. H. Remondy Pagotto1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-27CuritibaClayF. Zeballos2 - 1——WON
2026-09-22Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Roncadelli0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayT. Farjat0 - 21.3271%LOST
2026-09-20Buenos Aires 3ClayD. Pagani2 - 01.3869%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, N. Donoso or Bruno Fernandez?

Bruno Fernandez is favourite at 1.01, which is a 94% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for N. Donoso vs Bruno Fernandez?

N. Donoso is 15.00 and Bruno Fernandez is 1.01, the prices we recorded for the Santa Cruz 2 match.

What is the head-to-head between N. Donoso and Bruno Fernandez?

They have met 1 time and Bruno Fernandez leads 1-0.

Who will win N. Donoso vs Bruno Fernandez?

Our model makes it Bruno Fernandez to win at 1.01 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event