Boris Arias v Thiago Cigarran
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidWONB. Arias is 2-8 over the last ten and 3-8 on clay this season. T. Cigarran is 5-5 over the last ten and 30-27 on clay this season. T. Cigarran retired from a match in the last month.
The pick is B. Arias to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 48% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.10 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| B. Arias | T. Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 797 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LLLLL | Last 5 | LWWLW |
| +0.4 | V the odds | -0.2 |
| 3-10 | Season | 31-28 |
| 3-8 | Clay 2026 | 30-27 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 14d | Days rest | 5d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | retired |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Santa Cruz 2 | B. AriasvT. Cigarran | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
B. Arias — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | T. Cigarran | 1 - 2 | 6.51 | 85% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Curitiba | Clay | S. De La Fuente | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | Tam Sin Hang | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-30 | Porto 2 | Clay | P. Schoen | 2 - 0 | 8.30 | 89% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Prague | Clay | A. Martin | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-09 | Hamburg | Clay | E. Kirkin | 0 - 2 | 10.75 | 91% | LOST |
| 2026-07-05 | Trieste | Clay | E. Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | 10.25 | 91% | LOST |
| 2026-04-12 | Tallahassee | Hard (Indoor) | D. Martin | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-03-24 | Sao Paulo | Clay | S. Rodriguez Taverna | 2 - 1 | 7.20 | 87% | LOST |
| 2026-03-23 | Sao Paulo | Clay | C. Huertas Del Pino | 1 - 2 | 5.10 | 82% | WON |
T. Cigarran — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | L. J. Rodriguez | 0 - 2 | 2.85 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-10-11 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | B. Arias | 1 - 2 | 1.11 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-10-06 | Antofagasta | Clay | M. Tobon | 2 - 1 | 4.02 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | N. Kicker | 0 - 1 RET | 6.01 | 84% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Antofagasta | Clay | A. Matta | 0 - 2 | 1.03 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | T. Martinez | 0 - 1 RET | 1.46 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | S. Pesino | 2 - 0 | 1.14 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | Seville | Clay | T. Pereira | 2 - 1 | 4.21 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-09-04 | M25 Casablanca (Morocco) | Clay | K. Bennani | 0 - 2 | 4.39 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | M25 Casablanca (Morocco) | Clay | I. Haddouch | 2 - 0 | 1.06 | 86% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Boris Arias or Thiago Cigarran?
Thiago Cigarran is favourite at 1.11, which is a 85% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Boris Arias vs Thiago Cigarran?
Boris Arias is 6.51 and Thiago Cigarran is 1.11, the prices we recorded for the Santa Cruz 2 match.
What is the head-to-head between Boris Arias and Thiago Cigarran?
They have met 1 time and Thiago Cigarran leads 1-0.
Who will win Boris Arias vs Thiago Cigarran?
Our model makes it Boris Arias to win a set (Solid confidence).