ATPHard (Indoor)Basel2026-10-26 13:30

Mika Brunold v Nuno Borges

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid

M. Brunold to win2.72

Worth backing at 2.35 or bigger · our chance 43% · market 36/64, us 43/57

M. Brunold is 8-2 over the last ten and 14-6 on hard this season. N. Borges is 5-5 over the last ten and 17-15 on hard this season. M. Brunold took a medical timeout on 2026-10-18.

The pick is M. Brunold to win. We make it a 43% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.35 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. Brunold		N. Borges
261	Ranking	51
8-2	Last 10	5-5
LWWWW	Last 5	LWLWL
+3.1	V the odds	-0.2
42-18	Season	29-28
14-6	Hard 2026	17-15
2	Last 7 days	0
1d	Days rest	16d
1	Wins here	0
MTO	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Brunold2.7236%

N. BorgesFAV1.5064%

Market says64% Borges

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

M. BrunoldLWWWW

N. BorgesLWLWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. Brunold

N. Borges

42-18

14-6

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

29-28

17-15

Did not play

Lost R32 to A. Rublev

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

Nuno Borges

Portugal

261

Switzerland

41–17

16–6

24–11

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

Portugal

28–27

13–12

9–9

5–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Brunold — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-25	Basel	Hard (Indoor)	R. Bertola	1.65	59%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 BrunoldBertolaPoints won47%53%Serve points won59%65%Return points won35%41%Games held8 of 119 of 11Break points saved2 of 52 of 4Aces24Double faults13
2026-10-24	Basel	Hard (Indoor)	J. Faria	1.94	50%	WON
Games in each set7-6 7-6 BrunoldFariaPoints won51%49%Serve points won66%63%Return points won37%34%Games held10 of 1210 of 12Break points saved2 of 47 of 9Aces68Double faults24
2026-10-18	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	M. Martineau	1.72	56%	WON
Games in each set2-6 7-6 6-1 BrunoldMartineauPoints won52%48%Serve points won66%64%Return points won36%34%Games held11 of 1410 of 13Break points saved4 of 73 of 6Aces75Double faults03
2026-10-17	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	J. Kym	3.06	68%	WON
Games in each set7-6 7-6 BrunoldKymPoints won51%49%Serve points won72%72%Return points won28%28%Games held11 of 1211 of 12Break points saved2 of 31 of 2Aces46Double faults24
2026-10-16	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	F. Balshaw	2.07	53%	WON
Games in each set6-3 2-6 6-3 BrunoldBalshawPoints won52%48%Serve points won65%63%Return points won37%35%Games held11 of 1310 of 13Break points saved4 of 62 of 5Aces38Double faults00
2026-10-14	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	B. Bonzi	3.21	70%	WON
Games in each set6-2 2-6 6-4 BrunoldBonziPoints won52%48%Serve points won65%62%Return points won38%35%Games held11 of 1310 of 13Break points saved3 of 510 of 13Aces410Double faults33
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	M. Domenc	1.13	85%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 BrunoldDomencPoints won57%43%Serve points won67%52%Return points won48%33%Games held9 of 117 of 10Break points saved6 of 87 of 10Aces23Double faults33
2026-09-18	Biella	Clay	C. A. Caniato	—	—	LOST
Games in each set0-6 6-3 4-6 BrunoldCaniatoPoints won44%56%Serve points won52%65%Return points won35%48%Games held8 of 1310 of 12Break points saved6 of 114 of 6Aces25Double faults12
2026-09-17	Biella	Clay	F. Forti	1.39	66%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-2 BrunoldFortiPoints won64%36%Serve points won80%49%Return points won51%20%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved0 of 02 of 6Aces40Double faults01
2026-09-14	Biella	Clay	M. Giunta	1.35	68%	WON
Games in each set6-3 1-6 7-5 BrunoldGiuntaPoints won51%49%Serve points won56%53%Return points won47%44%Games held8 of 148 of 14Break points saved0 of 67 of 13Aces31Double faults35

N. Borges — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	J. Lehecka	3.30	71%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-3 3-6 BorgesLeheckaPoints won46%54%Serve points won63%73%Return points won27%37%Games held11 of 1313 of 14Break points saved6 of 80 of 1Aces512Double faults21
2026-10-07	Shanghai	Hard	F. Diaz Acosta	1.30	75%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 BorgesAcostaPoints won55%45%Serve points won70%61%Return points won39%30%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved5 of 51 of 3Aces92Double faults10
2026-09-30	Beijing	Hard	N. Djokovic	2.95	68%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-7 BorgesDjokovicPoints won44%56%Serve points won65%75%Return points won25%35%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved1 of 22 of 2Aces38Double faults22
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group II	- Preliminary	D. Duran	1.01	95%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-1 BorgesDuranPoints won64%36%Serve points won73%44%Return points won56%27%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved1 of 11 of 6
2026-09-01	US Open	Hard	L. Tien	2.80	65%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 1-6 2-6 BorgesTienPoints won44%56%Serve points won57%71%Return points won29%43%Games held6 of 1212 of 13Break points saved10 of 161 of 2Aces11Double faults50
2026-08-20	Cincinnati	Hard	B. Nakashima	2.51	61%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 7-6 3-6 BorgesNakashimaPoints won47%53%Serve points won64%69%Return points won31%36%Games held12 of 1416 of 16Break points saved7 of 94 of 4Aces827Double faults23
2026-08-18	Cincinnati	Hard	A. Rublev	2.71	64%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 BorgesRublevPoints won55%45%Serve points won69%60%Return points won40%31%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved3 of 41 of 4Aces85Double faults11
2026-08-16	Cincinnati	Hard	F. Cerundolo	1.81	53%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 BorgesCerundoloPoints won57%43%Serve points won78%60%Return points won40%22%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved1 of 25 of 8Aces53Double faults32
2026-08-14	Cincinnati	Hard	T. Kokkinakis	1.41	69%	WON
Games in each set5-7 7-6 7-6 BorgesKokkinakisPoints won51%49%Serve points won75%69%Return points won31%25%Games held16 of 1817 of 18Break points saved0 of 25 of 6Aces1820Double faults35
2026-08-08	Montreal	Hard	L. Darderi	1.57	62%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 3-6 5-7 BorgesDarderiPoints won50%50%Serve points won66%65%Return points won35%34%Games held12 of 1514 of 16Break points saved4 of 75 of 7Aces174Double faults61

Common questions

Who is favourite, Mika Brunold or Nuno Borges?

Nuno Borges is favourite at 1.50, which is a 64% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges?

Mika Brunold is 2.72 and Nuno Borges is 1.50, the prices we recorded for the Basel match.

Who will win Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges?

Our model makes it Mika Brunold to win at 2.72 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event

Altmaier v Cerundolo