Michael Geerts v Joao Domingues
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONM. Geerts is 6-4 over the last ten and 5-4 on clay this season. J. Domingues is 4-6 over the last ten and 5-5 on clay this season. The head to head is M. Geerts 1-0.
The pick is M. Geerts to win. We make it a 62% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.61 or bigger. At 1.55 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Geerts | J. Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| 305 | Ranking | 781 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WLLLW | Last 5 | WLWLL |
| +1.3 | V the odds | -0.6 |
| 19-19 | Season | 27-20 |
| 5-4 | Clay 2026 | 5-5 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | M. GeertsvJ. Domingues | 2 - 1 |
| 2022-06-22 | Oeiras 3 | J. DominguesvM. Geerts | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Geerts — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | J. Domingues | 2 - 1 | 1.55 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | V. Orlov | 2 - 0 | 1.36 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | C. Sanchez Jover | 0 - 2 | 2.80 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | J. D. Hara Friend | 2 - 0 | 2.79 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | L. Poullain | 1 - 2 | 2.12 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | R. Albot | 2 - 1 | 1.67 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | B. Blaydes | 2 - 0 | 1.61 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | M25 Koksijde | Clay | L. G. Verwerft | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | M25 Koksijde | Clay | G. Blancaneaux | 0 - 2 | 2.35 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-08-13 | M25 Koksijde | Clay | N. Robert | 0 - 2 | 1.23 | 78% | WON |
J. Domingues — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | M. Geerts | 2 - 1 | 2.30 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | V. Ursu | 2 - 0 | 1.94 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | M25 Setubal | Hard | R. Bertrand | 2 - 0 | 2.96 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | M25 Setubal | Hard | R. Izquierdo Luque | 2 - 1 | 1.66 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | J. Penzlin | 2 - 1 | 1.36 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-07-18 | Estoril | Clay | T. Skatov | 1 - 2 | 4.27 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-07-01 | M25 Figueira da Foz | Hard | F. Andaloro | 0 - 2 | 2.31 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-06-25 | M25 Porto | Hard | T. Torres | 2 - 0 | 2.98 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-06-24 | M25 Porto | Hard | M. McKennon | 2 - 1 | 1.66 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-06-19 | M25 Lourinha (Portugal) | Hard | F. Andaloro | 1 - 2 | 2.11 | 55% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Michael Geerts or Joao Domingues?
Michael Geerts is favourite at 1.55, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Michael Geerts vs Joao Domingues?
Michael Geerts is 1.55 and Joao Domingues is 2.30, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.
What is the head-to-head between Michael Geerts and Joao Domingues?
They have met 2 times and Michael Geerts leads 2-0.
Who will win Michael Geerts vs Joao Domingues?
Our model makes it Michael Geerts to win at 1.55 (Lean confidence).