ChallengerHard (Indoor)Sioux Falls2026-10-30 16:00

Max Hans Rehberg v Sebastian Dominko

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

S. Dominko to win a set (set handicap +1.5)

Worth backing at 1.42 or bigger · our chance 71% · market 59/41, us 56/44

S. Dominko is 8-2 over the last ten and 11-4 on hard this season. M. H. Rehberg is 8-2 over the last ten and 18-8 on hard this season. S. Dominko has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is S. Dominko to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 71% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.42 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. H. Rehberg		S. Dominko
280	Ranking	-
8-2	Last 10	8-2
WWLLW	Last 5	WWWWL
+1.4	V the odds	+1.5
49-24	Season	26-8
18-8	Hard 2026	11-4
2	Last 7 days	4
2d	Days rest	1d
2	Wins here	4
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. H. RehbergFAV1.5759%

S. Dominko2.2641%

Market says59% Rehberg

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

M. H. RehbergWWLLW

S. DominkoWWWWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. H. Rehberg

S. Dominko

49-24

18-8

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

26-8

11-4

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Max Hans Rehberg

Germany

Sebastian Dominko

Slovenia

280

Germany

47–23

19–6

28–17

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

1041

Slovenia

9–11

2–2

7–9

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. H. Rehberg — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-28	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	S. Kozlov	1.57	62%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-4 RehbergKozlovPoints won54%46%Serve points won62%59%Return points won41%38%Games held10 of 118 of 11Break points saved10 of 115 of 8Aces81Double faults32
2026-10-26	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	B. Shick	1.71	56%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 RehbergShickPoints won56%44%Serve points won63%52%Return points won48%37%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved4 of 52 of 6Aces72Double faults12
2026-10-19	Fort Worth (Usa)	Hard	M. Rottgering	2.16	56%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 1-6 RehbergRottgeringPoints won38%62%Serve points won47%76%Return points won24%53%Games held3 of 87 of 7Break points saved6 of 110 of 0Aces36Double faults22
2026-10-08	Villena	Clay	H. Barton	1.75	55%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 7-6 6-7 RehbergBartonPoints won46%54%Serve points won63%75%Return points won25%37%Games held13 of 1615 of 15Break points saved7 of 105 of 5Aces29Double faults65
2026-10-06	Villena	Clay	E. Butvilas	2.45	60%	WON
Games in each set1-6 6-4 7-5 RehbergButvilasPoints won49%51%Serve points won61%63%Return points won37%39%Games held10 of 1411 of 15Break points saved2 of 60 of 4Aces12Double faults30
2026-10-05	Villena	Clay	M. Poljicak	1.54	62%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-3 6-3 RehbergPoljicakPoints won54%46%Serve points won72%62%Return points won38%28%Games held13 of 1511 of 15Break points saved3 of 52 of 6Aces812Double faults23
2026-10-04	Villena	Clay	D. Cukierman	1.07	89%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-3 6-3 RehbergCukiermanPoints won52%48%Serve points won59%56%Return points won44%41%Games held12 of 159 of 15Break points saved1 of 44 of 10Aces107Double faults49
2026-09-19	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7	Clay	A. Chepelev	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-0 6-1 RehbergChepelevPoints won65%35%Serve points won65%36%Return points won64%35%Games held6 of 70 of 6Break points saved4 of 54 of 10
2026-09-18	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7	Clay	E. Vanshelboim	1.14	80%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-2 RehbergVanshelboimPoints won58%42%Serve points won61%45%Return points won55%39%Games held7 of 93 of 9Break points saved7 of 94 of 9
2026-09-17	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7	Clay	A. Weis	1.23	75%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-4 6-0 RehbergWeisPoints won57%43%Serve points won70%53%Return points won47%30%Games held10 of 128 of 13Break points saved3 of 54 of 9

S. Dominko — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-29	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	V. Royer	3.17	70%	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-5 DominkoRoyerPoints won53%47%Serve points won72%66%Return points won34%28%Games held12 of 1210 of 12Break points saved2 of 25 of 7Aces194Double faults74
2026-10-27	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	K. Poling	1.42	68%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-6 DominkoPolingPoints won57%43%Serve points won86%64%Return points won36%14%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved0 of 05 of 6Aces171Double faults32
2026-10-26	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	B. Willwerth	1.50	64%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-3 DominkoWillwerthPoints won60%40%Serve points won90%61%Return points won39%10%Games held11 of 118 of 10Break points saved0 of 014 of 16Aces102Double faults23
2026-10-25	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	J. Boulais	1.67	58%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-3 6-4 DominkoBoulaisPoints won51%49%Serve points won69%69%Return points won31%31%Games held15 of 1613 of 15Break points saved3 of 42 of 4Aces141Double faults52
2026-10-11	Olbia	Hard	D. Masur	2.18	56%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 1-6 DominkoMasurPoints won42%58%Serve points won58%73%Return points won27%42%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved1 of 43 of 4Aces116Double faults130
2026-09-30	M25 Slobozia (Romania)	Clay	S. Gima	1.26	74%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 DominkoGimaPoints won48%52%Serve points won65%74%Return points won26%35%Games held8 of 1110 of 10Break points saved7 of 95 of 5
2026-09-27	M25 Pardubice	Clay	S. Baum	1.18	78%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 DominkoBaumPoints won54%46%Serve points won70%66%Return points won34%30%Games held10 of 107 of 10Break points saved6 of 62 of 4
2026-09-26	M25 Pardubice	Clay	R. Molleker	2.08	54%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 DominkoMollekerPoints won54%46%Serve points won68%63%Return points won37%32%Games held10 of 117 of 11Break points saved1 of 22 of 5
2026-09-26	M25 Pardubice	Clay	J. Cizek	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-0 6-2 DominkoCizekPoints won63%37%Serve points won74%45%Return points won55%26%Games held7 of 72 of 7Break points saved0 of 03 of 8
2026-09-24	M25 Pardubice	Clay	M. Bekeni	1.05	87%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-1 DominkoBekeniPoints won68%32%Serve points won83%44%Return points won56%17%Games held7 of 72 of 7Break points saved1 of 12 of 7

Common questions

Who is favourite, Max Hans Rehberg or Sebastian Dominko?

Max Hans Rehberg is favourite at 1.57, which is a 59% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko?

Max Hans Rehberg is 1.57 and Sebastian Dominko is 2.26, the prices we recorded for the Sioux Falls match.

Who will win Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko?

Our model makes it Sebastian Dominko to win a set (Lean confidence).

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