ITFHardM25 Las Vegas · 1/16-finals2026-10-28 20:00

Matthew Forbes v Preston Stearns

Set 2Serving: M. ForbesBeing run overLong matchMust hold

Player	Set 1	Set 2	Pts	Pre	Live
M. ForbesMTO 14d	6	0	0	1.76	▲7.00
P. Stearns1st back · 31d out	7	2	0	2.08	▼1.08

MomentumHold 38% ▼7

2/6

4/6

M. Forbes is expected to hold 38% — 7 points below their own baseline in this match. (being run over, long match, must hold) Live prices refresh every 20 seconds.

The market

M. ForbesFAV1.7654%

P. Stearns2.0846%

Market says54% Forbes

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

M. ForbesLLLLL

P. StearnsLLWWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. Forbes

P. Stearns

7-9

7-8

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

3-2

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Matthew Forbes

USA

Preston Stearns

USA

931

USA

8–5

8–3

0–2

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2025 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

1443

USA

4–5

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Forbes — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-20	M15 Ithaca, NY	Hard (Indoor)	J. Secord		1.36	70%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 ForbesSecordPoints won47%53%Serve points won60%67%Return points won33%40%Games held8 of 119 of 11Break points saved3 of 63 of 5
2026-09-27	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	A. Rybakov		—	—	LOST
Games in each set5-7 3-6 ForbesRybakovPoints won44%56%Serve points won65%75%Return points won25%35%Games held8 of 1011 of 11Break points saved3 of 52 of 2Aces15Double faults32
2026-08-25	Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification	Hard	A. Mayo		2.63	64%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 5-7 ForbesMayoPoints won44%56%Serve points won56%70%Return points won30%44%Games held8 of 1210 of 12Break points saved5 of 94 of 6Aces36Double faults71
2026-08-09	Brownsburg (Usa) - Qualification	Hard	T. Boyer		3.99	76%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-1 2-6 ForbesBoyerPoints won44%56%Serve points won55%70%Return points won30%45%Games held8 of 129 of 11Break points saved3 of 70 of 2Aces15Double faults73
2026-08-02	Lexington	Hard	S. Johnson		2.71	65%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 5-7 ForbesJohnsonPoints won40%60%Serve points won53%73%Return points won27%47%Games held5 of 99 of 10Break points saved2 of 60 of 1Aces18Double faults32
2026-07-18	Lincoln	Hard	B. Tomic		2.71	64%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 3-6 ForbesTomicPoints won44%56%Serve points won68%77%Return points won23%32%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved1 of 23 of 3Aces22Double faults61
2026-07-16	Lincoln	Hard	J. Cui		1.97	51%	WON
Games in each set6-7 7-6 6-3 ForbesCuiPoints won51%49%Serve points won67%65%Return points won35%33%Games held15 of 1713 of 16Break points saved0 of 24 of 7Aces1111Double faults83
2026-07-14	Lincoln	Hard	S. Gorzny		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 4-6 6-4 ForbesGorznyPoints won52%48%Serve points won73%72%Return points won28%27%Games held14 of 1512 of 14Break points saved3 of 44 of 6Aces35Double faults23
2026-07-13	Lincoln	Hard	A. Rafiq	RET	1.13	83%	WON
Games in each set6-1 1-0 ForbesRafiqPoints won67%33%Serve points won79%43%Return points won57%21%Games held4 of 41 of 4Break points saved0 of 05 of 8Aces32Double faults17
2026-07-12	Lincoln	Hard	A. Ayeni		2.02	53%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 ForbesAyeniPoints won57%43%Serve points won66%52%Return points won48%34%Games held8 of 105 of 9Break points saved7 of 91 of 5Aces105Double faults58

P. Stearns — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-09-27	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	Q. Vandecasteele	—	—	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-4 2-6 StearnsVandecasteelePoints won45%55%Serve points won57%69%Return points won31%43%Games held9 of 1312 of 13Break points saved6 of 102 of 3Aces314Double faults84
2026-08-29	M15 Champaign, IL	Hard	B. Nakashima	2.89	67%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-7 StearnsNakashimaPoints won49%51%Serve points won63%68%Return points won32%37%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved0 of 23 of 3
2026-08-28	M15 Champaign, IL	Hard	M. Mesarovic	1.62	59%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 StearnsMesarovicPoints won55%45%Serve points won67%60%Return points won40%33%Games held10 of 118 of 10Break points saved5 of 63 of 5
2026-08-27	M15 Champaign, IL	Hard	J. Peck	1.28	74%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 StearnsPeckPoints won57%43%Serve points won71%62%Return points won38%29%Games held10 of 118 of 10Break points saved2 of 31 of 3
2026-08-26	M15 Champaign, IL	Hard	N. Vukadin	2.30	60%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-2 StearnsVukadinPoints won61%39%Serve points won66%46%Return points won54%34%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved0 of 02 of 6

Common questions

Who is favourite, Matthew Forbes or Preston Stearns?

Matthew Forbes is favourite at 1.76, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Matthew Forbes vs Preston Stearns?

Matthew Forbes is 1.76 and Preston Stearns is 2.08, the prices we recorded for the M25 Las Vegas match.

Also at this event

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