THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 18 OCTOBERMATCHES 130EVENTS 45LIVE 12ALERTS 42
ChallengerFlorence (Italy) - Qualification2026-10-19 11:30

Matthew Donald v J. Barranco Cosano

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
M. Donald to win1.40
Price too short today - wait for 1.43 or bigger · our chance 70% · market 66/34, us 70/30

M. Donald is 9-1 over the last ten. J. Barranco Cosano is 1-1 over the last ten. M. Donald has played 6 matches in seven days.

The pick is M. Donald to win. We make it a 70% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.43 or bigger. At 1.40 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. DonaldJ. Barranco Cosano
460Ranking-
9-1Last 101-1
WWWWWLast 5WL
+3.9V the odds-0.1
47-25Season1-1
-Surface-
6Last 7 days0
1dDays rest208d
1Wins here0
ClearFitness208d out
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. DonaldFAV1.4066%
J. Barranco Cosano2.7534%
Market says66% Donald

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. Donald
J. Barranco Cosano
47-25
-
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on surface
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
1-1
-
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Matthew Donald
Czech Republic
J. Barranco Cosano
460
21
Czech Republic
41–25
0
14–9
27–16
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Donald — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-18Florence (Italy) - Qualification—G. Pennaforti2 - 01.1980%WON
2026-10-17M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10ClayG. Tabacco0 - 1 RET1.6159%WON
2026-10-16M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10ClayA. Weis1 - 21.5362%WON
2026-10-15M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10ClayJ. Forejtek2 - 02.8366%WON
2026-10-14M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10ClayG. Oradini0 - 0 RET1.6458%WON
2026-10-13M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10ClayM. Furlanetto2 - 01.0691%WON
2026-10-03Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayJ. C. Martin Manzano2 - 0——LOST
2026-10-02Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Krumich2 - 12.8066%WON
2026-09-30Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Giustino1 - 1 RET1.9852%WON
2026-09-29Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayO. Wallin0 - 22.0553%WON

J. Barranco Cosano — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-03-25M25 TarragonaClayC. Cordoba2 - 01.3670%WON
2026-03-04HersonissosHardD. Kuzmanov0 - 22.4461%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Matthew Donald or J. Barranco Cosano?

Matthew Donald is favourite at 1.40, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Matthew Donald vs J. Barranco Cosano?

Matthew Donald is 1.40 and J. Barranco Cosano is 2.75, the prices we recorded for the Florence (Italy) match.

Who will win Matthew Donald vs J. Barranco Cosano?

Our model makes it Matthew Donald to win at 1.40 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event