ChallengerTaranto (Italy)2026-11-01 13:00

Matteo Sciahbasi v Arvid Nordquist

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Strong

A. Nordquist to win1.57

Worth backing at 1.52 or bigger · our chance 66% · market 41/59, us 34/66

A. Nordquist is 7-3 over the last ten. M. Sciahbasi is 4-6 over the last ten. M. Sciahbasi retired from a match in the last month.

The pick is A. Nordquist to win. We make it a 66% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.52 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. Sciahbasi		A. Nordquist
907	Ranking	-
4-6	Last 10	7-3
LLLLL	Last 5	LWWWW
-0.2	V the odds	+1.7
16-17	Season	24-8
-	Surface	-
0	Last 7 days	0
14d	Days rest	15d
0	Wins here	0
retired	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Sciahbasi2.2541%

A. NordquistFAV1.5759%

Market says59% Nordquist

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

M. SciahbasiLLLLL

A. NordquistLWWWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. Sciahbasi

A. Nordquist

16-17

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on surface

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

24-8

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Matteo Sciahbasi

Italy

Arvid Nordquist

Sweden

907

Italy

17–14

1–3

16–11

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

1579

Sweden

3–6

2–3

1–3

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Sciahbasi — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-18	Florence (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	D. Siniakov	RET	2.78	66%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 0-3 SciahbasiSiniakovPoints won32%68%Serve points won20%59%Return points won41%80%Games held0 of 54 of 5Break points saved2 of 70 of 1Aces00Double faults10
2026-10-13	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10	Clay	G. Tabacco		2.37	60%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-4 4-6 SciahbasiTabaccoPoints won49%51%Serve points won48%50%Return points won50%52%Games held7 of 177 of 16Break points saved2 of 115 of 13
2026-10-06	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9	Clay	L. Lokoli		3.75	75%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6 SciahbasiLokoliPoints won48%52%Serve points won55%58%Return points won42%45%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved5 of 93 of 4
2026-09-28	Bari (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	J. C. Martin Manzano		—	—	LOST
Games in each set5-7 3-6 SciahbasiManzanoPoints won46%54%Serve points won53%63%Return points won37%47%Games held6 of 118 of 10Break points saved7 of 122 of 4Aces04Double faults12
2026-09-25	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8	Clay	D. Rapagnetta		3.00	68%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 SciahbasiRapagnettaPoints won46%54%Serve points won51%59%Return points won41%49%Games held4 of 96 of 9Break points saved5 of 70 of 2
2026-09-24	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8	Clay	L. Angelini		2.72	65%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-6 SciahbasiAngeliniPoints won53%47%Serve points won62%55%Return points won45%38%Games held9 of 117 of 11Break points saved3 of 54 of 8
2026-09-22	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8	Clay	N. Trivunac		—	—	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-3 6-1 SciahbasiTrivunacPoints won56%44%Serve points won60%49%Return points won51%40%Games held10 of 137 of 12Break points saved1 of 42 of 7
2026-09-16	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7	Clay	L. Comino		1.66	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 SciahbasiCominoPoints won49%51%Serve points won59%63%Return points won37%41%Games held8 of 1110 of 12Break points saved9 of 129 of 11
2026-09-15	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7	Clay	L. Carboni		2.68	64%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-2 6-1 SciahbasiCarboniPoints won59%41%Serve points won59%41%Return points won59%41%Games held7 of 124 of 12Break points saved1 of 63 of 11
2026-08-23	M15 Arad	Clay	I. Miletich		1.58	60%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-6 SciahbasiMiletichPoints won54%46%Serve points won69%58%Return points won42%31%Games held10 of 118 of 10Break points saved0 of 14 of 6

A. Nordquist — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-17	M15 Szabolcsveresmart	Hard	L. Pokorny	3.04	69%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-0 3-6 NordquistPokornyPoints won56%44%Serve points won70%60%Return points won40%30%Games held11 of 1310 of 14Break points saved0 of 24 of 8
2026-10-15	M15 Szabolcsveresmart	Hard	J. Hrazdil	1.18	81%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-6 NordquistHrazdilPoints won53%47%Serve points won72%65%Return points won35%28%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved0 of 11 of 3
2026-10-14	M15 Szabolcsveresmart	Hard	N. Thurner	1.23	77%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-3 6-3 NordquistThurnerPoints won50%50%Serve points won57%56%Return points won44%43%Games held9 of 138 of 14Break points saved2 of 53 of 8
2026-09-27	M15 Baku (Azerbaijan)	Hard	D. Singh	1.83	50%	WON
Games in each set7-6 7-6 NordquistSinghPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%63%Return points won37%32%Games held10 of 1210 of 12Break points saved3 of 41 of 3
2026-09-26	M15 Baku (Azerbaijan)	Hard	D. Dolzhenkov	1.09	87%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3
2026-09-25	M15 Baku (Azerbaijan)	Hard	M. Hurrion	3.48	73%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-5 NordquistHurrionPoints won53%47%Serve points won66%62%Return points won38%34%Games held10 of 118 of 11Break points saved4 of 51 of 4
2026-09-24	M15 Baku (Azerbaijan)	Hard	J. Connel	2.20	58%	WON
Games in each set7-6 7-6 NordquistConnelPoints won50%50%Serve points won59%60%Return points won40%41%Games held8 of 128 of 12Break points saved12 of 163 of 7
2026-09-23	M15 Baku (Azerbaijan)	Hard	P. Savelov	1.03	94%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-3 NordquistSavelovPoints won61%39%Serve points won70%48%Return points won52%30%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved1 of 10 of 4
2026-08-23	Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification	Hard	G. Perego	—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-4 4-6 NordquistPeregoPoints won48%52%Serve points won59%62%Return points won38%41%Games held10 of 1311 of 15Break points saved2 of 51 of 5Aces011Double faults01
2026-08-14	M15 Turku	Hard	A. Vales	2.62	65%	LOST
Games in each set6-1 4-6 1-6 NordquistValesPoints won46%54%Serve points won55%65%Return points won35%45%Games held7 of 128 of 12Break points saved5 of 101 of 4

Common questions

Who is favourite, Matteo Sciahbasi or Arvid Nordquist?

Arvid Nordquist is favourite at 1.57, which is a 59% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist?

Matteo Sciahbasi is 2.25 and Arvid Nordquist is 1.57, the prices we recorded for the Taranto (Italy) match.

Who will win Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist?

Our model makes it Arvid Nordquist to win at 1.57 (Strong confidence).

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