ITFGrassM25 Sarreguemines2026-10-20 11:30

Matt Ponchet v Theo Herrmann

The market

M. PonchetFAV1.5759%

T. Herrmann2.2541%

Market says59% Ponchet

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

M. PonchetLLLLW

T. HerrmannLWWLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. Ponchet

Defending title

T. Herrmann

10-16

0-0

Champion

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on grass

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

8-12

2-1

Did not play

Lost R32 to A. Bouquier

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Matt Ponchet

France

Theo Herrmann

France

848

France

2–1

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

1532

France

3–2

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Ponchet — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-09-08	M25 Plaisir + H (France)	Hard	M. Kaouk	3.08	69%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 PonchetKaoukPoints won49%51%Serve points won52%55%Return points won45%48%Games held6 of 118 of 12Break points saved5 of 105 of 9
2026-08-23	Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification	Hard	I. Montes-De La Torre	—	—	LOST
Games in each set1-6 3-6 PonchetTorrePoints won40%60%Serve points won44%63%Return points won37%56%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved2 of 79 of 10Aces21Double faults23
2026-08-16	Roehampton (United Kingdom)	Hard	M. Walters	2.03	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-7 PonchetWaltersPoints won46%54%Serve points won68%78%Return points won22%32%Games held12 of 1212 of 12Break points saved5 of 52 of 2Aces56Double faults51
2026-07-31	M15 Dublin	Hard	C. Gannon	2.13	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 1-6
2026-07-30	M15 Dublin	Hard	A. Elamin	1.34	71%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3
2026-07-29	M15 Dublin	Hard	M. Kumar	1.11	86%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-1
2026-07-19	Tampere	Clay	M. Zielinski	4.26	78%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-7 PonchetZielinskiPoints won49%51%Serve points won53%57%Return points won43%47%Games held8 of 128 of 12Break points saved12 of 161 of 5Aces40Double faults64
2026-07-07	M25 Roda de Bara	Hard	G. Carlini	1.88	51%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 4-6
2026-07-01	M15 Getxo	Clay	A. Garcian	2.27	58%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6
2026-06-23	M25 Bakio	Hard	R. Bertrand	4.59	79%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 1-6

T. Herrmann — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-09-25	M15 Forbach	Grass	F. Thomas	2.90	67%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 7-5 5-7 HerrmannThomasPoints won47%53%Serve points won56%59%Return points won41%44%Games held10 of 1612 of 17Break points saved4 of 106 of 11
2026-09-24	M15 Forbach	Grass	N. Schell	2.10	56%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 HerrmannSchellPoints won59%41%Serve points won76%55%Return points won45%24%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved2 of 34 of 8
2026-09-22	M15 Forbach	Grass	A. Freire Da Silva	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-6 HerrmannSilvaPoints won53%47%Serve points won66%59%Return points won41%34%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved2 of 36 of 9
2026-09-08	M15 Monastir 30	Hard	K. Rahmani	4.26	78%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 HerrmannRahmaniPoints won40%60%Serve points won53%74%Return points won26%47%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved2 of 61 of 1
2026-09-02	M15 Monastir 29	Hard	R. Jones	4.00	76%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 HerrmannJonesPoints won40%60%Serve points won51%72%Return points won28%49%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved2 of 51 of 1
2026-07-29	M15 Strasbourg (France)	Clay	P. Delage	4.40	78%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 2-6
2026-06-27	M15 Kayseri 6	Hard	R. P. Senthil Kumar	—	—	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6
2026-06-26	M15 Kayseri 6	Hard	R. Sancilio	1.48	65%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-1
2026-06-25	M15 Kayseri 6	Hard	N. Tepmahc	4.82	80%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-4
2026-06-24	M15 Kayseri 6	Hard	M. Reyniak	1.56	61%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3

Common questions

Who is favourite, Matt Ponchet or Theo Herrmann?

Matt Ponchet is favourite at 1.57, which is a 59% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Matt Ponchet vs Theo Herrmann?

Matt Ponchet is 1.57 and Theo Herrmann is 2.25, the prices we recorded for the M25 Sarreguemines match.

Also at this event

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