THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 14 OCTOBERMATCHES 377EVENTS 39LIVE 15ALERTS 165
ChallengerHardOlbia2026-10-13 10:00

Mathys Erhard v Valentin Royer

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
V. Royer to win1.31
Price too short today - wait for 1.34 or bigger · our chance 75% · market 26/74, us 25/75

V. Royer is 6-4 over the last ten and 9-17 on hard this season. M. Erhard is 5-5 over the last ten and 17-13 on hard this season.

The pick is V. Royer to win. We make it a 75% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.34 or bigger. At 1.31 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. ErhardV. Royer
346Ranking71
5-5Last 106-4
WWLLWLast 5LLLWL
-0.8V the odds+0.5
34-27Season23-29
17-13Hard 20269-17
2Last 7 days1
1dDays rest6d
2Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Erhard3.7326%
V. RoyerFAV1.3174%
Market says74% Royer

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Erhard0
V. Royer1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-13OlbiaM. ErhardvV. Royer0 - 2

This season & this event

M. Erhard
V. Royer
34-28
17-14
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
24-30
10-18
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Mathys Erhard
France
Valentin Royer
France
346
24
France
31–24
0
11–9
20–15
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
105
25
France
23–29
1
9–16
13–11
1–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Erhard — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-13OlbiaHardV. Royer0 - 23.7374%LOST
2026-10-12OlbiaHardL. Raquillet2 - 01.2974%WON
2026-10-11OlbiaHardL. Rocco2 - 01.0194%WON
2026-10-04VillenaClayO. Tarvet0 - 23.9476%LOST
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)A. Barroso Campos1 - 21.2475%LOST
2026-09-27Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)P. Theate2 - 01.0490%WON
2026-09-20St. TropezHardP. Zahraj2 - 11.3770%LOST
2026-09-09CassisHardD. Glinka0 - 1 RET2.3259%LOST
2026-09-08CassisHardB. Pietri0 - 21.1683%WON
2026-09-02MallorcaHardI. Montes-De La Torre2 - 1——LOST

V. Royer — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14OlbiaHardS. Travaglia2 - 01.3472%LOST
2026-10-13OlbiaHardM. Erhard0 - 21.3174%WON
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardD. Vallejo2 - 02.2256%LOST
2026-09-28BeijingHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-26HangzhouHardD. Medvedev2 - 03.9976%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardA. Walton2 - 01.9951%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardD. Svrcina3 - 21.8652%LOST
2026-08-22Kingston (Jamaica)HardP. Martinez2 - 01.4168%WON
2026-08-21Kingston (Jamaica)HardC. Chidekh2 - 11.5761%WON
2026-08-20Kingston (Jamaica)HardG. Bueno2 - 01.2180%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Mathys Erhard or Valentin Royer?

Valentin Royer is favourite at 1.31, which is a 74% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer?

Mathys Erhard is 3.73 and Valentin Royer is 1.31, the prices we recorded for the Olbia match.

What is the head-to-head between Mathys Erhard and Valentin Royer?

They have met 1 time and Valentin Royer leads 1-0.

Who will win Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer?

Our model makes it Valentin Royer to win at 1.31 (Lean confidence).

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