Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida v Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTM. Pucinelli de Almeida is 6-4 over the last ten and 30-12 on clay this season. J. Reis Da Silva is 7-3 over the last ten and 18-20 on clay this season. The head to head is M. Pucinelli de Almeida 3-0.
The pick is M. Pucinelli de Almeida to win. We make it a 66% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.52 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Pucinelli de Almeida | J. Reis Da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| 255 | Ranking | 230 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWLWW | Last 5 | WWLWL |
| +1.0 | V the odds | +2.3 |
| 36-19 | Season | 23-25 |
| 30-12 | Clay 2026 | 18-20 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Defending semi |
| Head to head 3-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Antofagasta | M. Pucinelli de AlmeidavJ. Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | J. Reis Da SilvavM. Pucinelli de Almeida | 1 - 2 |
| 2025-09-24 | Buenos Aires 3 | M. Pucinelli de AlmeidavJ. Reis Da Silva | 2 - 1 |
| 2023-05-06 | Coquimbo | J. Reis Da SilvavM. Pucinelli de Almeida | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Pucinelli de Almeida — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Antofagasta | Clay | J. Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | 1.57 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-10-07 | Antofagasta | Clay | G. A. Olivieri | 2 - 0 | 1.40 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | A. Barrena | 0 - 2 | 1.70 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Curitiba | Clay | T. Barrios Vera | 1 - 2 | 2.00 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | J. Reis Da Silva | 1 - 2 | 1.53 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | P. A. Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 1 | 1.16 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | H. Dellien | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | R. Bertola | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | J. D. Hara Friend | 0 - 2 | 2.03 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Mallorca | Hard | M. Gengel | 2 - 0 | 1.36 | 70% | WON |
J. Reis Da Silva — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Antofagasta | Clay | J. C. Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | 2.15 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-10-09 | Antofagasta | Clay | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | 0 - 2 | 2.52 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-10-07 | Antofagasta | Clay | G. I. Justo | 1 - 0 RET | 1.79 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-10-06 | Antofagasta | Clay | B. Munk Mesa | 0 - 2 | 1.17 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | 1 - 2 | 2.35 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | M. A. Dellien Velasco | 2 - 0 | 1.28 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | Tulln | Clay | M. Brunold | 0 - 2 | 2.49 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-12 | Tulln | Clay | A. Barrena | 2 - 0 | 1.68 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | Tulln | Clay | L. Neumayer | 2 - 0 | 3.17 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | Tulln | Clay | T. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | 3.09 | 69% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida or Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao?
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is favourite at 1.57, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao?
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is 1.57 and Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao is 2.52, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.
What is the head-to-head between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao?
They have met 4 times and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida leads 3-1.
Who will win Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao?
Our model makes it Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida to win at 1.56 (Solid confidence).