THE TENNIS TRADER
SATURDAY 10 OCTOBERMATCHES 118EVENTS 37LIVE 1ALERTS 55
ChallengerClayAntofagasta2026-10-09 15:00

Eduardo Ribeiro v Lautaro Midon

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
L. Midon to win1.46
Price too short today - wait for 1.48 or bigger · our chance 68% · market 34/66, us 32/68

L. Midon is 6-4 over the last ten and 26-16 on clay this season. E. Ribeiro is 6-4 over the last ten and 21-20 on clay this season. The head to head is E. Ribeiro 1-0.

The pick is L. Midon to win. We make it a 68% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.48 or bigger. At 1.46 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

E. RibeiroL. Midon
407Ranking206
6-4Last 106-4
WWLLWLast 5WWLWW
+0.2V the odds+0.9
22-21Season34-22
21-20Clay 202626-16
2Last 7 days3
1dDays rest1d
2Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

E. Ribeiro2.8234%
L. MidonFAV1.4766%
Market says66% Midon

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

E. Ribeiro1
L. Midon1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-09AntofagastaE. RibeirovL. Midon0 - 2
2025-10-11M25 Rio de JaneiroE. RibeirovL. Midon2 - 0

This season & this event

E. Ribeiro
L. Midon
22-22
21-21
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
35-23
27-17
Lost R16 to T. Barrios Vera
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Eduardo Ribeiro
Brazil
Lautaro Midon
Argentina
407
28
Brazil
9–8
0
—
9–8
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
206
22
Argentina
32–22
0
2–2
30–19
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

E. Ribeiro — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-09AntofagastaClayL. Midon0 - 22.8266%LOST
2026-10-08AntofagastaClayG. Heide1 - 25.0381%WON
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayS. Heredia0 - 21.2574%WON
2026-09-29CuritibaClayP. Sakamoto0 - 21.5462%LOST
2026-09-25Buenos Aires 3ClayP. Boscardin Dias2 - 02.0053%LOST
2026-09-24Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Coria0 - 21.7156%WON
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayP. Martinez2 - 0——WON
2026-09-01Porto 2ClayP. Vives Marcos2 - 01.8253%LOST
2026-08-31Porto 2ClayJ. Sels2 - 11.3371%WON
2026-08-30Porto 2ClayN. Barrientos2 - 01.3371%WON

L. Midon — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10AntofagastaClayT. Seyboth Wild0 - 23.2270%LOST
2026-10-09AntofagastaClayE. Ribeiro0 - 21.4766%WON
2026-10-08AntofagastaClayJ. Aguilar Cardozo1 - 22.0453%WON
2026-10-06AntofagastaClayJ. Pereira1 - 21.1285%WON
2026-10-02CuritibaClayG. Heide2 - 03.1369%LOST
2026-09-30CuritibaClayB. Fernandez0 - 21.1284%WON
2026-09-29CuritibaClayM. Soto0 - 21.5562%WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardK. Jacquet2 - 05.3382%LOST
2026-08-20Kingston (Jamaica)HardC. Chidekh2 - 03.2170%LOST
2026-08-19Kingston (Jamaica)HardI. Marcondes1 - 1 RET2.1054%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Eduardo Ribeiro or Lautaro Midon?

Lautaro Midon is favourite at 1.47, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Eduardo Ribeiro vs Lautaro Midon?

Eduardo Ribeiro is 2.82 and Lautaro Midon is 1.47, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.

What is the head-to-head between Eduardo Ribeiro and Lautaro Midon?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Eduardo Ribeiro vs Lautaro Midon?

Our model makes it Lautaro Midon to win at 1.46 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event