ChallengerHard (Indoor)Bratislava 22026-11-04 10:00

Matej Dodig v Michal Krajci

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

M. Dodig to win1.07

Price too short today - wait for 1.15 or bigger · our chance 88% · market 86/14, us 88/12

M. Dodig is 8-2 over the last ten and 4-6 on hard this season. M. Krajci is 6-4 over the last ten and 22-16 on hard this season.

The pick is M. Dodig to win. We make it a 88% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.15 or bigger. At 1.07 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. Dodig		M. Krajci
174	Ranking	-
8-2	Last 10	6-4
LWWLW	Last 5	WWLLW
+1.4	V the odds	-0.3
41-22	Season	22-20
4-6	Hard 2026	22-16
0	Last 7 days	2
12d	Days rest	2d
0	Wins here	2
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. DodigFAV1.0786%

M. Krajci6.5014%

Market says86% Dodig

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

M. DodigLWWLW

M. KrajciWWLLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. Dodig

M. Krajci

41-22

4-6

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

22-20

22-16

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Matej Dodig

Croatia

Michal Krajci

Slovakia

174

Croatia

36–20

5–6

30–11

1–1

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

584

Slovakia

35–27

32–21

3–6

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Dodig — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-23	Lisbon	Clay	M. Trungelliti	1.61	60%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6 DodigTrungellitiPoints won41%59%Serve points won51%69%Return points won31%49%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved5 of 93 of 4Aces32Double faults00
2026-10-21	Lisbon	Clay	M. Cecchinato	1.38	70%	WON
Games in each set6-1 4-6 6-2 DodigCecchinatoPoints won57%43%Serve points won67%52%Return points won48%33%Games held10 of 127 of 13Break points saved1 of 36 of 12Aces63Double faults04
2026-10-20	Lisbon	Clay	J. Domingues	1.05	92%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-3 DodigDominguesPoints won59%41%Serve points won62%44%Return points won56%38%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved6 of 74 of 9Aces10Double faults10
2026-10-17	Maia	Clay (Indoor)	F. Passaro	1.66	56%	LOST
Games in each set7-5 1-6 4-6 DodigPassaroPoints won46%54%Serve points won61%73%Return points won27%39%Games held11 of 1414 of 15Break points saved6 of 95 of 6Aces27Double faults40
2026-10-16	Maia	Clay (Indoor)	T. Boyer	1.47	66%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-6 DodigBoyerPoints won54%46%Serve points won63%56%Return points won44%37%Games held9 of 118 of 11Break points saved10 of 127 of 10Aces32Double faults13
2026-10-15	Maia	Clay (Indoor)	L. Neumayer	1.47	66%	WON
Games in each set6-4 4-6 6-3 DodigNeumayerPoints won53%47%Serve points won66%58%Return points won42%34%Games held11 of 1410 of 15Break points saved1 of 43 of 8Aces162Double faults21
2026-10-12	Maia	Clay (Indoor)	P. Martinez	1.59	61%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-1 DodigMartinezPoints won63%37%Serve points won76%47%Return points won53%24%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved3 of 33 of 7Aces40Double faults25
2026-10-11	Braga	Clay	E. Moller	1.42	68%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-3 6-2 DodigMollerPoints won53%47%Serve points won66%57%Return points won43%34%Games held11 of 139 of 13Break points saved4 of 68 of 12Aces40Double faults15
2026-10-10	Braga	Clay	L. Neumayer	1.68	57%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-1 DodigNeumayerPoints won62%38%Serve points won74%48%Return points won52%26%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved0 of 05 of 9Aces51Double faults12
2026-10-09	Braga	Clay	M. Moeller	1.46	66%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 DodigMoellerPoints won57%43%Serve points won71%54%Return points won46%29%Games held8 of 85 of 9Break points saved4 of 42 of 6Aces41Double faults03

M. Krajci — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Bratislava 2	Hard (Indoor)	N. Visker		3.88	75%	WON
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-4 KrajciViskerPoints won49%51%Serve points won69%72%Return points won28%31%Games held13 of 1413 of 15Break points saved2 of 34 of 6Aces223Double faults33
2026-11-01	Bratislava 2	Hard (Indoor)	A. Braynin		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 KrajciBrayninPoints won56%44%Serve points won70%60%Return points won40%30%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 02 of 5Aces53Double faults10
2026-10-13	M15 Szabolcsveresmart	Hard	M. Kumar		1.11	87%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 2-6 KrajciKumarPoints won48%52%Serve points won60%63%Return points won37%40%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved1 of 43 of 4
2026-10-02	M15 Sharm ElSheikh 11	Hard	R. Strombachs		2.75	66%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-2 4-6
2026-10-01	M15 Sharm ElSheikh 11	Hard	J. Simonsson	RET	1.17	79%	WON
Games in each set6-3 KrajciSimonssonPoints won58%42%Serve points won84%55%Return points won45%16%Games held4 of 43 of 5Break points saved0 of 01 of 3
2026-09-30	M15 Sharm ElSheikh 11	Hard	P. O. Fellin		2.10	56%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 KrajciFellinPoints won56%44%Serve points won70%54%Return points won46%30%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved4 of 55 of 8
2026-09-24	M25 Sharm ElSheikh 4	Hard	R. Strombachs		2.75	67%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 2-6 KrajciStrombachsPoints won46%54%Serve points won54%61%Return points won39%46%Games held6 of 118 of 10Break points saved4 of 85 of 7
2026-09-23	M25 Sharm ElSheikh 4	Hard	A. F. Alhogbani		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-1 KrajciAlhogbaniPoints won63%37%Serve points won77%49%Return points won51%23%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved3 of 32 of 6
2026-09-11	M15 Hurghada 8 (Egypt)	Hard	M. Hurrion		2.95	68%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 KrajciHurrionPoints won48%52%Serve points won63%67%Return points won33%37%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved3 of 51 of 2
2026-09-10	M15 Hurghada 8 (Egypt)	Hard	E. Qabazard		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 KrajciQabazardPoints won63%37%Serve points won84%52%Return points won48%16%Games held8 of 85 of 9Break points saved0 of 02 of 6

Common questions

Who is favourite, Matej Dodig or Michal Krajci?

Matej Dodig is favourite at 1.07, which is a 86% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci?

Matej Dodig is 1.07 and Michal Krajci is 6.50, the prices we recorded for the Bratislava 2 match.

Who will win Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci?

Our model makes it Matej Dodig to win at 1.07 (Lean confidence).