THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ChallengerClayBraga · Semi-finals2026-10-10 11:00

Matej Dodig v Lukas Neumayer

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongWON
M. Dodig to win1.68
Worth backing at 1.56 or bigger · our chance 64% · market 57/43, us 64/36

M. Dodig is 8-2 over the last ten and 29-11 on clay this season. L. Neumayer is 7-3 over the last ten and 31-13 on clay this season. The head to head is M. Dodig 1-0.

The pick is M. Dodig to win. We make it a 64% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.56 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. DodigL. Neumayer
171Ranking180
8-2Last 107-3
WWWLLLast 5WWWLW
+2.3V the odds+0.1
34-20Season44-25
29-11Clay 202631-13
3Last 7 days3
1dDays rest1d
3Wins here3
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. DodigFAV1.6857%
L. Neumayer2.2743%
Market says57% Dodig

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Dodig2
L. Neumayer0
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-10BragaM. DodigvL. Neumayer2 - 0
2025-07-11TriesteM. DodigvL. Neumayer2 - 0

This season & this event

M. Dodig
L. Neumayer
36-20
31-11
Did not play
Lost R32 to T. A. Tirante
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
44-26
31-14
Did not play
Lost QF to D. E. Galan

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Matej Dodig
Croatia
Lukas Neumayer
Austria
171
21
Croatia
31–19
1
5–6
25–11
1–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
180
24
Austria
39–23
2
9–7
29–15
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Dodig — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11BragaClayE. Moller1 - 21.4268%WON
2026-10-10BragaClayL. Neumayer2 - 01.6857%WON
2026-10-09BragaClayM. Moeller0 - 21.4666%WON
2026-10-08BragaClayM. Damas0 - 21.2676%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayA. Pellegrino2 - 11.6458%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsA. Zverev2 - 016.0894%LOST
2026-09-12GenovaClayT. Seyboth Wild2 - 12.1054%LOST
2026-09-11GenovaClayE. Dalla Valle2 - 11.5264%WON
2026-09-09GenovaClayH. Dellien0 - 0 RET2.2357%WON
2026-09-08GenovaClayF. Agamenone0 - 1 RET1.3472%WON

L. Neumayer — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10BragaClayM. Dodig2 - 02.2757%LOST
2026-10-09BragaClayM. Alcala Gurri2 - 12.1455%WON
2026-10-08BragaClayO. Wallin0 - 21.3969%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayF. Broska1 - 21.2775%WON
2026-09-25Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Mikrut0 - 22.4761%LOST
2026-09-23Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayJ. C. Martin Manzano2 - 1——WON
2026-09-22Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayS. D'Agostino2 - 0——WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsZ. Bergs1 - 22.8267%LOST
2026-09-11TullnClayJ. Reis Da Silva2 - 01.4069%LOST
2026-09-10TullnClayJ. M. La Serna1 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Matej Dodig or Lukas Neumayer?

Matej Dodig is favourite at 1.68, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Matej Dodig vs Lukas Neumayer?

Matej Dodig is 1.68 and Lukas Neumayer is 2.27, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.

What is the head-to-head between Matej Dodig and Lukas Neumayer?

They have met 2 times and Matej Dodig leads 2-0.

Who will win Matej Dodig vs Lukas Neumayer?

Our model makes it Matej Dodig to win at 1.68 (Strong confidence).

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