THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ChallengerClayBraga2026-10-10 13:30

Elmer Moller v Vilius Gaubas

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongWON
E. Moller to win2.11
Worth backing at 1.88 or bigger · our chance 53% · market 46/54, us 53/47

E. Moller is 5-5 over the last ten and 13-14 on clay this season. V. Gaubas is 5-5 over the last ten and 20-21 on clay this season. V. Gaubas took a medical timeout on 2026-10-09. The head to head is E. Moller 1-0.

The pick is E. Moller to win. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.88 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

E. MollerV. Gaubas
175Ranking117
5-5Last 105-5
WWWLWLast 5WWWLL
+0.3V the odds-0.8
22-24Season32-27
13-14Clay 202620-21
3Last 7 days3
1dDays rest1d
3Wins here3
ClearFitnessMTODefending final
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

E. Moller2.1146%
V. GaubasFAV1.7954%
Market says54% Gaubas

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

E. Moller2
V. Gaubas0
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-10BragaE. MollervV. Gaubas2 - 1
2024-11-08Lima 2 Challenger MenV. GaubasvE. Moller1 - 2

This season & this event

E. Moller
V. Gaubas
Defending final
23-25
14-15
Lost QF to A. Moro Canas
Champion
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
32-28
20-22
Lost Final to L. Mikrut
Lost R16 to A. Pellegrino

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Elmer Moller
Denmark
Vilius Gaubas
Lithuania
175
23
Denmark
19–23
0
2–6
15–15
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
117
21
Lithuania
29–27
0
7–4
17–21
3–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

E. Moller — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11BragaClayM. Dodig1 - 23.0168%LOST
2026-10-10BragaClayV. Gaubas2 - 12.1154%WON
2026-10-09BragaClayT. Pereira2 - 11.4766%WON
2026-10-07BragaClayZ. Piros1 - 22.5362%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayT. Monteiro1 - 22.2559%WON
2026-09-29Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayC. Taberner2 - 01.9250%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryI. Radulov2 - 01.4365%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryG. Dimitrov1 - 24.0176%LOST
2026-09-02MallorcaHardM. Kasnikowski1 - 22.3759%LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardC. Wong2 - 14.7880%LOST

V. Gaubas — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10BragaClayE. Moller2 - 11.7954%LOST
2026-10-09BragaClayL. Mikrut2 - 02.8666%WON
2026-10-07BragaClayD. Ajdukovic2 - 11.4367%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayJ. Domingues2 - 01.1184%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryH. Medjedovic2 - 02.8466%LOST
2026-09-08SevilleClayP. Lagutin1 - 21.4169%LOST
2026-08-27US OpenHardH. Wendelken1 - 21.3768%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardM. Cecchinato2 - 01.4168%WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardK. Feldbausch2 - 01.7854%WON
2026-08-04HagenClayM. Houkes2 - 11.5264%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Elmer Moller or Vilius Gaubas?

Vilius Gaubas is favourite at 1.79, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Elmer Moller vs Vilius Gaubas?

Elmer Moller is 2.11 and Vilius Gaubas is 1.79, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.

What is the head-to-head between Elmer Moller and Vilius Gaubas?

They have met 2 times and Elmer Moller leads 2-0.

Who will win Elmer Moller vs Vilius Gaubas?

Our model makes it Elmer Moller to win at 2.11 (Strong confidence).

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