ITFHardM15 Trois-Rivieres2026-11-03 23:30

Marko Mesarovic v Mikael Arseneault

The market

M. Mesarovic2.3739%

M. ArseneaultFAV1.5361%

Market says61% Arseneault

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

M. MesarovicLWLLW

M. ArseneaultLWLLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. Mesarovic

M. Arseneault

8-12

8-9

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

8-9

Lost QF to B. Suarez

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Marko Mesarovic

Puerto Rico

Mikael Arseneault

Canada

1340

Puerto Rico

6–7

5–4

0–1

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2025 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

978

Canada

14–20

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Mesarovic — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-29	M25 Norman, OK	Hard	T. Zink	3.50	73%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-3 0-6 MesarovicZinkPoints won40%60%Serve points won50%75%Return points won25%50%Games held5 of 119 of 11Break points saved2 of 84 of 6
2026-10-28	M25 Norman, OK	Hard	V. Kalina	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-4 MesarovicKalinaPoints won57%43%Serve points won67%55%Return points won45%33%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved6 of 64 of 7
2026-10-14	M15 Lexington, KY	Hard	C. Thies	1.16	82%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 1-6 MesarovicThiesPoints won43%57%Serve points won48%62%Return points won38%52%Games held5 of 107 of 9Break points saved2 of 65 of 6
2026-10-01	M15 Ann Arbor, MI	Hard	O. Bonding	5.04	81%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 MesarovicBondingPoints won45%55%Serve points won60%72%Return points won28%40%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved2 of 40 of 0
2026-09-30	M15 Ann Arbor, MI	Hard	D. Bobo	1.30	73%	WON
Games in each set6-1 7-6 MesarovicBoboPoints won61%39%Serve points won81%63%Return points won37%19%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved2 of 20 of 2
2026-08-28	M15 Champaign, IL	Hard	P. Stearns	2.32	59%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 3-6 MesarovicStearnsPoints won45%55%Serve points won60%67%Return points won33%40%Games held8 of 1010 of 11Break points saved3 of 55 of 6
2026-08-27	M15 Champaign, IL	Hard	Z. Viiala	2.01	53%	WON
Games in each set6-4 4-6 6-3 MesarovicViialaPoints won53%47%Serve points won64%58%Return points won42%36%Games held12 of 1510 of 14Break points saved4 of 64 of 8
2026-08-25	M15 Champaign, IL	Hard	S. Matsuoka	1.72	55%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-5 MesarovicMatsuokaPoints won51%49%Serve points won65%62%Return points won38%35%Games held9 of 117 of 11Break points saved0 of 23 of 7
2026-08-13	M25 East Lansing, MI	Hard	N. Filin	3.10	69%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 3-6 MesarovicFilinPoints won40%60%Serve points won49%67%Return points won33%51%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved5 of 92 of 3
2026-08-12	M25 East Lansing, MI	Hard	O. Okonkwo	1.99	52%	WON
Games in each set7-6 7-6 MesarovicOkonkwoPoints won51%49%Serve points won75%68%Return points won32%25%Games held11 of 1211 of 14Break points saved0 of 14 of 5

M. Arseneault — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-22	M15 Ithaca, NY	Hard (Indoor)	R. Fernandes		1.96	51%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-2 4-6 ArseneaultFernandesPoints won50%50%Serve points won57%58%Return points won42%43%Games held9 of 149 of 14Break points saved2 of 74 of 9
2026-10-20	M15 Ithaca, NY	Hard (Indoor)	M. Kuhar		1.51	63%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 ArseneaultKuharPoints won56%44%Serve points won70%61%Return points won39%30%Games held8 of 96 of 9Break points saved4 of 53 of 6
2026-10-14	M15 Lexington, KY	Hard	W. Jansen		3.49	73%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 5-7 ArseneaultJansenPoints won45%55%Serve points won58%68%Return points won32%42%Games held8 of 1110 of 11Break points saved3 of 63 of 4
2026-08-26	M15 Champaign, IL	Hard	M. Farzam		1.81	53%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 6-7 6-7 ArseneaultFarzamPoints won54%46%Serve points won55%47%Return points won53%45%Games held10 of 168 of 16Break points saved4 of 105 of 12
2026-07-28	Vancouver	Hard	J. K. Trotter		2.98	68%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 3-6 3-6 ArseneaultTrotterPoints won46%54%Serve points won64%73%Return points won27%36%Games held12 of 1515 of 15Break points saved7 of 107 of 7Aces13Double faults53
2026-07-20	Winnipeg	Hard	E. Winter		3.49	73%	WON
Games in each set7-6 4-6 6-1 ArseneaultWinterPoints won52%48%Serve points won57%52%Return points won48%43%Games held9 of 148 of 15Break points saved4 of 96 of 13Aces01Double faults53
2026-07-19	Winnipeg	Hard	P. Marinkov		2.42	61%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 ArseneaultMarinkovPoints won57%43%Serve points won78%61%Return points won39%22%Games held9 of 97 of 10Break points saved2 of 25 of 8Aces46Double faults05
2026-07-13	Granby	Hard	G. Dalmasso		1.96	52%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 4-6 4-6 ArseneaultDalmassoPoints won50%50%Serve points won63%60%Return points won40%37%Games held11 of 1512 of 15Break points saved6 of 109 of 12Aces29Double faults514
2026-07-12	Granby	Hard	D. Martin	RET	2.32	59%	WON
Games in each set3-6 7-5 4-2 ArseneaultMartinPoints won51%49%Serve points won68%63%Return points won37%32%Games held11 of 1311 of 14Break points saved3 of 56 of 9Aces71Double faults02
2026-07-10	M25 Laval	Hard	R. Colby		3.06	69%	WON
Games in each set5-7 7-5 6-4

Common questions

Who is favourite, Marko Mesarovic or Mikael Arseneault?

Mikael Arseneault is favourite at 1.53, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Marko Mesarovic vs Mikael Arseneault?

Marko Mesarovic is 2.37 and Mikael Arseneault is 1.53, the prices we recorded for the M15 Trois-Rivieres match.

Also at this event

Brostrom v Kepche Weekes v Jonge Dean v Massotte Genereux v Bynoe Pires v Clavel Spiers v Markov